2024 U.S. House election in Texas's district 15
House · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Monica De La Cruz (Republican, incumbent)Won57.1%
- Michelle Vallejo (Democratic)42.9%
Monica De La Cruz by 14.2 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: wikipedia-2024-house
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Monica De La Cruz2 picks · won
Every claim about this race (2)
Newest first. A winner call is graded once the race is called and confirmed; a margin or share once the result is certified.
Nathan Gonzales: Monica De La Cruz wins TX-15 House seat (2024) — “likely Republican”
Race Winners · Sep 19, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Texas's district 15 · the take
Hit · 100Lakshya Jain: Monica De La Cruz wins TX-15 House seat (2024) — “Lean Republican”
Race Winners · Sep 7, 2024 · 2024 U.S. House election in Texas's district 15 · the take
Hit · 100
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