2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won16 EV · 50.7% · 2,663,117
Kamala Harris (Democratic)48.5% · 2,548,017
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.4% · 20,684
Jill Stein (Green)0.3% · 18,229

Donald Trump by 2.2 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · flipped · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Donald Trump 15Kamala Harris 1· 16 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Donald Trump18 picks · won
Kamala Harris1 pick · lost

Every claim about this race (24)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 6, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Robby Soave: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump: a margin of +5.6 points in GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Close · 66
Newt Gingrich: Donald Trump: a margin of +5 points in GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Close · 72
Steve Deace: Donald Trump: a three to five six point victory in Georgia in GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 92
David Axelrod: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “more likely than not”
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “the most bullish”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Clay Travis: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 2, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Daniel Horowitz: Donald Trump: more like one one and a half in GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Pending
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “The most likely scenario right now”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Megyn Kelly: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “definitely leaning Trump”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “likely carries it over the finish line”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Carl Cannon: Donald Trump: one or two point win in GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Margins · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 98
Buck Sexton: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “a slight edge”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Bill Scher: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Scott Rasmussen: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “he should feel pretty good about Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina”
Race Winners · Oct 24, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
Brent Buchanan: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “It's highly likely he wins Georgia”
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100
David Pakman: Donald Trump wins GA's presidential vote (2024) — “probably”
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia · the take
Hit · 100