2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas
Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified
The ballot
The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.
- Donald Trump (Republican)Won40 EV · 56.1% · 6,393,597
- Kamala Harris (Democratic)42.5% · 4,835,250
- Jill Stein (Green)0.7% · 82,701
- Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.6% · 68,557
- Cornel West (Independent)0.0% · 1,858
Donald Trump by 13.7 points in the general · held by the Republican party going in · source: fec-2024-president
The field, week by week
Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.
What the field called
Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.
- Donald Trump7 picks · won
- Kamala Harris1 pick · lost
Every claim about this race (8)
Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.
Tim Miller: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Rising (The Hill): Kamala Harris wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Miss · 0Seth Keshel: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) — “Trump leaners less than ten”
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Jeff Singer: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024) — “almost certainly”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Krystal Ball: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 28, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Carl Cannon: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100Erick-Woods Erickson: Donald Trump wins TX's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas · the take
Hit · 100