2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania

Presidency · November 5, 2024 · certified

The ballot

The deciding round's shares, from the certified result.

Donald Trump (Republican)Won19 EV · 50.2% · 3,543,308
Kamala Harris (Democratic)48.5% · 3,423,042
Jill Stein (Green)0.5% · 34,538
Chase Oliver (Libertarian)0.5% · 33,318

Donald Trump by 1.7 points in the general · held by the Democratic party going in · flipped · source: fec-2024-president

The field, week by week

Each pundit's latest pick as of each week's end, so a bar is the room as it stood that week — not how many calls were made.

Oct 27Nov 3Nov 10

Kamala Harris 9Donald Trump 11· 20 pundits on record this week

What the field called

Who the pundits on record picked to win, most picked first.

Donald Trump14 picks · won
Kamala Harris14 picks · lost

Every claim about this race (28)

Newest first. A grade appears once the result is certified and the claim is scored.

Tim Miller: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Robby Soave: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Ben Shapiro: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Saagar Enjeti: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Seth Keshel: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 5, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Steve Bannon: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Krystal Ball: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Saagar Enjeti: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 4, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump”
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Sean Spicer: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Newt Gingrich: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 3, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Buck Sexton: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “most likely I think to win Pennsylvania”
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Steve Deace: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Isaac Saul: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Emily Jashinsky: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Ryan Grim: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Nov 1, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Spencer Kimball: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “Pennsylvania as a toss-up, slightly leaning towards Trump”
Race Winners · Oct 31, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “narrowly winning”
Race Winners · Oct 30, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Selena Zito: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “I would rather be Donald Trump in these closing days than I would be with, with Harris”
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Steve Deace: Donald Trump wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 29, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Hit · 100
Lakshya Jain: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “the narrowest of favorites”
Race Winners · Oct 26, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Bill Scher: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 25, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
Brent Buchanan: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024) — “a slight edge”
Race Winners · Oct 23, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0
David Pakman: Kamala Harris wins PA's presidential vote (2024)
Race Winners · Oct 22, 2024 · 2024 U.S. presidential election in Pennsylvania · the take
Miss · 0