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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,373
graded
1,454 still pending
By season
2476–2500 of 4,373
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
Rueben Bain to be picked “gone at, like, seven or eight”
I keep looking at Mox, and I keep seeing the guy that I wish was going to be there gone at, like, seven or eight, and that's Ruben Bane.
T.J. Parker to be picked “drafted before No. 40”
Now he and Messador are two guys that could be there, could be gone four picks before, or could be sitting there at 40. I doubt either of them last to 40 at this point
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13
My dream off season, I have Mekhi Lemmon as my pick at 13
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
Except that Fernando Mendoza is going to be the number one overall pick to Las Vegas Raiders because Clint Kubiak clearly cannot stand Geno Smith
Jadarian Price to be picked “day two”
Jadarian, Price out of Notre Dame. Jeremiah Love's, back backfield mate, a guy that's expected to go in day two, could be a really good pick.
Mike Washington to be picked “day two pick”
Mike Washington out of Arkansas, expected to be a day two pick.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
The only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.
Caleb Tiernan to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
This guy, Caleb Tiernan from Northwestern. These are two second round tackles with short arms who are gonna move down inside the guard.
Kade Casey to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
Guard cage, Casey from Boise State. This guy, Caleb Tiernan from Northwestern. These are two second round tackles with short arms
Spencer Fano to be picked “not inside the top 10 picks” (picks 1–10)
Like, you can't draft him as a tackle. Not 32 and an eights armed, not inside the top 10 picks. So if he were available at 28, I would a 100% take him... I don't think he'll be there.
Caleb Lomu to be picked “drafted before pick 28”
I still think Caleb loan you, for example, I think he'll get drafted by then.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “way overdrafted”
Monroe Freeling from, Georgia away overdrafted.
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 28
I gave them in my last mock draft. I gave the Texans Caleb Lomew at tackle.
Zion Young to be picked at number 42
Alright. Let's move on now to round two, pick 42. ... I went with Missouri edge rusher Zion Young.
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 8
Caleb Downs makes perfect sense for this team at eight, assuming that those medicals do check out.
Tanner Koziol to be picked at number 189
jumping ahead now to round six, our final selection pick one eighty nine. Houston tight end Tanner Cazio.
Keionte Scott to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)
Keontay Scott out of Miami. ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.
Tim Keenan to be picked at number 137
Going back to defense here as well, with Alabama defensive tackle Tim Keenan the third. This is at round four, pick one thirty seven.
Zachariah Branch to be picked at number 73
there's a perfect opportunity for me to do so in round three, pick 73 with Georgia wide receiver, Zachariah Branch
Trey Moore to be picked at number 170
And then round five pick one seventy, I'm gonna go with, Texas linebacker Trey Moore.
Treydan Stukes to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)
trading stoops as well out of Arizona ... Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.
Emmett Johnson to be picked at number 132
with the first selection of round four, pick one thirty two, I went with Nebraska running back Emmett Johnson
Bud Clark to be picked “probably second, third round players” (picks 33–100)
And then I'd highlight, of course, TCU safety, Bud Clark. Those guys could be had a little bit later in the draft, probably second, third round players.
Malachi Lawrence to be picked “top 100” (picks 1–100)
And I think Malachi Lawrence now is going, like, top 100.
Beau Stephens to be picked at number 148
round four pick one forty eight, I'm gonna go with Iowa guard Beau Stevens
