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Tyler RowlandApr 16, 2026

Rowland took Ohio State's Arvel Reese at No. 4 overall for the Titans, passing on Jeremiah Love.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast)Hear the original

96Hit · out of 100
Went 5What happenedmocked at 4
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
95.76This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Tyler Rowland said

Our reading: Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

The episode
How I Landed A Game-Changing Talent For The Saints In The 2026 Locked On NFL Mock Draft
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 16
  2. GradedOct 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 95.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
4They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseTennessee Titans

    Arvell Reese to be picked at number 4

    What happenedWent 5mocked at 4
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.