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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,385
graded
1,466 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3326–3350 of 4,385
Pat Coogan to be picked at number 132
So round four pick one thirty two. I went with Indiana center Pat Guggen.
Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 148
So UCF Edge rusher Malachi Lawrence is my selection around five. Pick one forty eight.
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8
And so in round one, pick eight, I went with one of the Saints' perfect prospects, Jordan Tyson.
Jadarian Price to be picked at number 42
So with the forty second pick in the NFL draft in the second round, I went with Notre Dame running back Jadarian Price.
Kage Casey to be picked at number 189
Going to round six picks one, pick one eighty nine. And for this one, I went with Cage Casey, the offensive tackle out of Boise State.
Max Klare to be picked at number 73
I went with Ohio State tight end, Max Claire... So I took Max Claire at 73.
Davison Igbinosun to be picked “round four”
Let's finish up round four here... But I'm gonna go with here, Ohio State cornerback, Davison, Igbonosin.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round player” (picks 1–32)
I watched Oregon's tight end last night. He's a first round player. Oregon? Saddiq?
Arch Manning to be picked at number 1
i think Arch manning probably is the number one pick next. Year
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
Fernando mendoz a slam, dunk number one. Pick
T.J. Parker to be picked at number 20
At number 20, TJ Parker, Edge, Clemson.
Jermott McCoy to be picked “Cowboys first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
Sonny Styles and a blue star special, Jermott McCoy, the injured corner out of Tennessee
Avieon Terrell to be picked “the second pick in the first round (Cowboys, No. 20)” (picks 1–64)
With the second pick in the first round, Dane goes with Avion. AJ Terrell. Avion Terrell, cornerback.
Sonny Styles to be picked “Cowboys first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
Justin Mello at the draft network... Sonny Styles and a blue star special, Jermott McCoy
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
Max Chadwick, pro football focus... Pick number 12... Keldrick Falk, Auburn.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round player” (picks 1–32)
I watched Oregon's tight end last night. He's a first round player.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Dane Brugler at the athletic... Number 12, Sonny Styles.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Mike Renner, CBS Sports... Pick at number 12, Sonny Styles, linebacker Ohio State.
C.J. Allen to be picked “second pick (Cowboys, No. 20)”
Second pick would be CJ Allen out of the University of Georgia. He is a linebacker
Keylan Rutledge to be picked “day two”
Dequil and Rutledge, I I think he's in this class as well. Georgia Tech, I'd expect to go on day two.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “round one”
I could see Monroe Freeling sneaking in the round one because teams need a tackle
Avieon Terrell to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I think we see Avian Terrell from Clemson go first round.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
Jeremiah Love the Notre Dame running back who's gonna go somewhere, I guess, the top half of the first round
Mansoor Delane to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
But I think we see Mansoor, Delaine from LSU go first round.
Caleb Downs to be picked “top half of the first round” (picks 1–32)
Safety class is up next on this one where you have Cale Downs from Ohio State... there is a guy who's going to go top half of the first round
