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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,385
graded
1,466 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
3301–3325 of 4,385
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 25
The Bears at twenty five, Dylan Thieneman
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 21
another big physical dude to go along with DK Metcalf. If we're going to the Steelers there at twenty one
Blake Miller to be picked at number 29
my favorite player that they have is who I have gone twenty nine to the Rams, and that's Blake Miller
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Michael Middlehurst Schwartz from USA Today... Number 12, Sonny Styles, linebacker Ohio State.
C.J. Allen to be picked at number 12
On a mock draft round up, number three, Fox Sports at number 12 overall, CJ Allen, linebacker, Georgia.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked “their second first round pick” (picks 1–32)
So one mock draft, Akeem Mesador is their second first round pick. He's a pass rusher out of Miami. That's from, Mel Kuiper's mock draft.
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20
And at number 20, Avion Terrell, cornerback Clemson.
Colton Hood to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
the second pick from Josh Edwards at CBS Sports is Colton Hood, cornerback out of Tennessee
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 12
Mel Kiper junior, we mentioned yesterday, Sonny Styles, Ohio State linebacker.
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 20
And it picked number 20, Brandon Cease or Cease... South Carolina corner.
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
Next one we go to is Josh Edwards at CBS Sports. Pick number 12, Keltrick Folk, Auburn, Edge.
Kamari Ramsey to be picked “back end of the top 100” (picks 1–100)
I know you love Kamar Ramsey, but I see a more back end of the top 100 sort of guy.
Julian Neal to be picked “top 50 picks” (picks 1–50)
These guys could all be top 50 picks ... Julian Neil is not undersized from Arkansas
Dalton Johnson to be picked “going to get drafted”
Dalton Johnson is going to get drafted.
K.C. Concepcion to be picked “potential first rounder” (picks 1–32)
KC Concepcion, two schooler, NC State, Texas A and M, potential first rounder
Keonte Scott to be picked “top 50 pick” (picks 1–50)
I think he's a top 50 pick at corner, at least second round corner in this class.
Justin Joly to be picked “top 100 guy” (picks 1–100)
So lot riding on it for him because he could be a top 100 guy, truthfully.
Chris Johnson to be picked “top 50 picks” (picks 1–50)
These guys could all be top 50 picks, I think, when it's all said and done. You have Chris Johnson from San Diego State
Taylen Green to be picked “potentially late day two, early day three”
we could see him come off the board, potentially late day two, early day three
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
he is a top 30 player on my board. I think there's a chance after this week he's a first round
Austin Barber to be picked “day two pick”
I think Austin Barber from Florida could end up a day two pick.
Ahmari Harvey to be picked “getting drafted”
I guarantee you, Mario Harvey's getting drafted.
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked “top 50 pick” (picks 1–50)
Emmanuel Pregnone from Oregon, who's probably evolved into your offline here, gonna be the highest drafted, I would guess. Probably a top 50 pick.
Jeff Caldwell to be picked “he's gonna get drafted”
If he can really show up in one on ones and make a lot and do a lot of good work, he's gonna get drafted
Dante Corleone to be picked “day two”
for a lot of teams that need run stoppers because of where the NFL is going, Corlejo could be a really nice pick on day two
