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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4076–4100 of 4,387
Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 17
I'm going to go with Derek Harmon here from Oregon (Bengals)
Donovan Jackson to be picked at number 27
I'm gonna go Donovan Jackson Ohio State (Ravens)
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”
Jets might trade away Brace Hall and and draft Ashton Genti if he's available Wow. At seven. That I he's not getting to seven.
Travis Hunter to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
The league has a first round grade on Jalen Milrow... five quarterbacks in the first round in two weeks.
Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Mason Taylor to be picked “bottom of the first round” (picks 1–32)
DJ. Yeah, bottom of the first round. Mason Taylor could be the third tied end to come off the board
Mason Taylor to be picked at number 32
But when you're picking thirty two and you're going to send your tight end potentially out the door and Dallas Goddard, I'm looking at that going that makes a lot of sense for them. Man Mason Taylor to the Eagles.
Walter Nolen to be picked “significantly higher than pick 28 / long gone by then”
Walter Nolan Buck mentioned he goes up to number twenty eight, I think he's going to be long gone by then... he's got a chance to go significantly higher than that.
Kyle McCord to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
I've said Kyle McCord at Syracuse. I take him in the second round and feel pretty good... Then I watched them at Syracuse and I'm like, shit, that's a second round pick.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I mean the Titans from what I've heard, I was in Nashville month ago, pretty good source. They've been dead set on him for like a month. This guy's going the number one pick
Kevin Winston Jr. to be picked at number 50
Despite receiving the coverage of a Day 3 pick, I expect him to be selected in the top 50.
Omarion Hampton to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I think Omarian Hampton from Carolina probably sneaks into the first round.
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
I think he's absolutely a top 10 pick still or at least a top 10 player in this class, and I wouldn't be surprised if he was in the top 10.
Quinshon Judkins to be picked “day two”
Judkins and Trevion Henderson, I think, are day two guys.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
After Ken Ward goes first overall, we don't know anything about this NFL draft.
Travis Hunter to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
but, like, top five steal for this guy because he's he's probably the best player in the draft
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
I think Genti is definitely a top 10 pick in this draft.
TreVeyon Henderson to be picked “day two”
Judkins and Trevion Henderson, I think, are day two guys.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
who do you think goes to right now? ... Travis Hunter.
