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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4101–4125 of 4,387
Omarion Hampton to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
I think Omarian Hampton from Carolina probably sneaks into the first round.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “back half of the first round, top of the second round” (picks 1–64)
To me, he's a back half of the first round, top of the second round, player.
Abdul Carter to be picked at a slot they never named
Is there a perfect fit in the top ten from Bucky's and mocks three point zero... I have to go to New England and I think you just brought upout Dull Carter. I think that that's a perfect fit for them out there in New England.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
the Giants at three, choosing Travis Hunter over a dual carter
Tyler Warren to be picked at a slot they never named
I think Tyler Warrens are the Jets with Justin Field is really interesting
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
my God Bucky Brooks has mister Mason Graham out of Michigan... going to Jacksonville at number five
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 10
we'll look at number ten and oh, Marion Hampton is the running back from North Carolina... It seems that everyone is just determined that the Bears are going to draft a running back.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
We've talked about him at three Bucky's got him going to to Cleveland... So Bucky goes quarterback quarterback one two
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I wouldn't say it's inevitable, but I would say it's very likely that cam Ward will be the first overall pick.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
It doesn't he's gonna go number one. I'm actually more certain, I think than you guys are that he's gonna go number one... They're gonna take him number one, I think
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 2
I went with Cleveland taking Shador Sanders, and here's why... there's a lot of elements to the Cleveland decision at two.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
I think they're getting close to finalizing the decision that Cam Ward's the number one pick.
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
for the Giants... I I think if it goes quarterback one two, it comes down to Hunter versus Abdul Carter. I went with Hunter.
Abdul Carter to be picked “top four picks” (picks 1–4)
I feel strongly that there's a good chance the four players are Cam Ward, Abdul Carter, Travis Hunter, and Shador Sanders going in the top four picks.
Azareye'h Thomas to be picked at number 29
and then the cornerback as Aarya Thomas from Florida State at twenty nine
Nick Emmanwori to be picked at number 24
Nick and Worry from the you know, South Carolina is at twenty four to the Viking team
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 4
Travis Hunter to the Patriots at four
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 5
Jalen Walker from of the linebacker going to the Jaguars at five
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 32
I noticed Samar Stewart, who blew up the combine, is number thirty two in your mock draft. The Eagles taking another big, strong, fast guy.
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at a slot they never named
You had him going Kelvin Banks, who plays the same position [to the Houston Texans]
Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21
Jackson's Dart going twenty one to the Steelers
Armand Membou to be picked at number 7
behind armand Membu, who's going number seven to the Jets
Will Campbell to be picked at number 10
Will Campbell the tackle from LSU go to the Bears. At ten
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 3
Sedar Sanders is up to number three with the Giants.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
So this time around, we got cam Ward number one... So that's why I've slotted cam Ward in at the number one spot.
