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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
A first-round mock-draft pick missed where the player actually went by 10.2 picks on average, across 1,676 graded first-round picks; mocked in late day 3 (176+), the average miss grows to 49.6 picks.
Among the 11 pundits with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Chris Brockman has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +50.0, 76.0% accuracy across 36 graded picks.
Among the 15 publishers with ten or more graded mock-draft articles, Locked On Chiefs (podcast) has the best record: a MissedTakes Score of +49.2, 67.8% accuracy across 53 graded picks.
67% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
2,919 / 4,387
graded
1,468 still pending
By season
Across the 2,100 graded exact-pick calls from every pundit and every draft, not only the 5 above: average miss on top-ten picks 2.7 slots across 738 calls; rest of round one 7.2 slots across 690.
4051–4075 of 4,387
Tyler Booker to be picked at number 28
I would is kind of locked in on Tyler Booker, uh the the Beefy Guard as my Lions pick
Emeka Egbuka to be picked at number 20
Broncos... And I think if it was my team, I would take Abuca... so I'm going to take a buga
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
So that's why I'm going to go with Mason Graham. Okay, defensive tackle. (Jaguars at No. 5)
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
number one pick Titans going with Cam Woord quarterback
Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 16
Cardinals... I just think Johad Campbell is such a nice fit in that defense
Will Campbell to be picked at number 6
if I'm on the clock and I'm the one building the team, I actually would take Will Campbell here (Raiders at six)
Mykel Williams to be picked at number 11
Actually I'm gonna go with Mikel Williams. Actually here this is a little rich (49ers at No. 11)
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
who I'm going to take or two overall for the Cleveland Browns... I'm gonna take Travis Hunter
Tyler Baron to be picked at number 22
let's go to the Chargers today. Barron's still there... I probably would lean Baron... He's a good value at twenty two
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 12
But I think Tech McMillan's a bigger need... So let's go with him to the Cowboys
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 26
So I'm gonna go ramshitter Sanders (Rams, pick 26)
Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 23
I'm gonna go Kenneth Grant, oh Michigan... Kenneth Grant Packers
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 10
now Ashton Genty is the Chicago Bear... I think Ashton Genty to the Bears would be a great pairing
Josh Simmons to be picked at number 31
I am going to go Josh Simmons over Banks... yeah, Simmons, Josh Simmons, Ohio State (Chiefs)
Mason Taylor to be picked at number 32
I will go Mason Taylor thirty two because to me, he is the natural Dallas Godder replacement
Armand Membou to be picked at number 9
Well, I'm gonna go with Memboo because that's where I was kind of leaning anyways (Saints at No. 9)
Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18
I have the Seahawks at number eighteen... I think this is the spot for Gray's Abel, the North Dakota State offensive lineman
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 7
I'm gonna go Coulson Love one woow, Michigan... So I'm gonna go call some level in here and the Jets
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 19
I'm gonna go with Schamar Stewart from Texas A and m Okay (Buccaneers)
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 5
he has McMillan going fifth to the Jaguars, which is interesting for a few reasons
Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked at number 21
I'm gonna go savone ravel Wow, okay, yes, Corner East Carolina (Steelers at 21)
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3
But I'm gonna go I'm gonna duel Carter, who I think is a very good prospect... just skim him on this roster (Giants at No. 3)
Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 29
That's where I'm going with Donovan. Is a rockup from Boston College (Commanders)
Grey Zabel to be picked “an eighteen to thirty type player... back half of this first round” (picks 1–32)
I think he's an eighteen to thirty type player, you know, or just say back half of this first round
Josh Conerly Jr. to be picked at number 25
Josh Connerly here from Oregon offensive tackle... But that is with the Texans
