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Scott BogmanAug 2, 2025

Bogman delivered five escalating hot takes: Cam Skattebo leads the Giants in touches as a rookie, Trey McBride leads all tight ends in touchdowns, Ricky Pearsall leads the 49ers in receiving yards, Matthew Golden finishes as a low-end fantasy WR2 (around WR24), and Anthony Richardson finishes as the QB6 in fantasy.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 misses · all settled
51.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
38.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Scott Bogman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
My first hot take is that Cam Scataboo leads the New York Giants in touches this season.
Scott Bogman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Hot Takes | BOLD Expert Predictions For The 2025 NFL Season (Ep. 1636)
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidAug 2, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart“Ricky Piersaw leads the forty nine ers in receiving yards.”
  2. 2Anthony Richardson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points“Anthony Richardson finishes QB six. We don't even know if he's gonna start right now.”
  3. 3Matthew Golden to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points“Matthew Golden... finishes as a low end wide receiver two in fantasy... That's a wide receiver low end wide receiver twenty four here.”
  4. 4Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart“My first hot take is that Cam Scataboo leads the New York Giants in touches this season... I think he's already the better lead back.”
  5. 5Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds“Trey McBride leads tight ends in touchdowns this season. In twenty twenty five”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart CallsNo. 383.33100−33.33
Anthony Richardson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points2Positional FinishesFinished #70000
Matthew Golden to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points3Positional FinishesFinished #91000
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart CallsNo. 383.3391.67−16.67
Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds5Positional FinishesFinished #291.670+183.33
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 misses · all settled51.738.3

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 positional finishes and 2 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 51.7 out of 100, against 38.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

1They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsRicky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers

    Ricky Pearsall to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 3called No. 1 · by receptions
    83.33Hit · naive 100
    83.33this call100a naive guess−16.67worse than naive2difficulty−33.33skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    −33.33
    player:
    Ricky Pearsall
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    3
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Positional FinishesAnthony RichardsonIndianapolis Colts

    Anthony Richardson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points

    What happenedFinished #70called #6 · by fantasy points
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Anthony Richardson
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    QB
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    25
    actual finish:
    70
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    6
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Positional FinishesMatthew GoldenGreen Bay Packers

    Matthew Golden to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points

    What happenedFinished #91called #24 · by fantasy points
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Matthew Golden
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    WR
    ranked by:
    fantasy points
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — the startable tier at WR
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    36
    actual finish:
    91
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    24
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Depth Chart CallsCam SkatteboNew York Giants

    Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 3called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    83.33Hit · naive 91.67
    83.33this call91.67a naive guess−8.34worse than naive2difficulty−16.67skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Cam Skattebo
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Positional FinishesTrey McBride

    Trey McBride to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds

    What happenedFinished #2called #1 · by receiving tds
    91.67Hit · naive 0
    91.67this call0a naive guess91.67better than naive2difficulty+183.33skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    183.33
    player:
    Trey McBride
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    12
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    0
    position:
    TE
    ranked by:
    receiving tds
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where he finished last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    naive finish:
    33
    actual finish:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    predicted finish:
    1
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    51.7naive 38.3

Others on the same people

More positional finishes

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.