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Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 3, 2025

Brockman picked the AFC East order as Bills first, Patriots second, Jets third, Dolphins fourth, said the Bills will cruise to the division and play on championship weekend, and floated nine wins as realistic for New England.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 4calls landed2 hits · 2 misses · all settled
45Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
35A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 4Settlednone still waiting
#36Chris Brockman’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Chris Brockman said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
this is the Bills division until someone takes it from their hands
Chris Brockman, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Hour 3: Desmond Howard Rips Arch Manning, AFC East Predictions & actor Dylan O’Brien
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Buffalo Bills to win the division“this is the Bills division until someone takes it from their hands... I expect them to kinda breeze through this division”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs“I expect them to kinda breeze through this division and and play on the championship weekend.”
  3. 3Power Rankings“I got Miami fourth... Vibes are a little higher in New York. So I'm just gonna put them third, Dolphins fourth, Patriots second... this is the Bills division”
  4. 4New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins“Patriots second. Love the vibes there. Nine wins are real possibility”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Buffalo Bills to win the division1Division Winners—000
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs2Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1001000
“I got Miami fourth... Vibes are a little higher in New York. So…”3Power Rankings—8040+80
New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins4Season Win Totals14000
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled4535

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 playoff pick, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 45 out of 100, against 35 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Playoff PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Power Rankings

    “I got Miami fourth... Vibes are a little higher in New York. So I'm just gonna put them third, Dolphins fourth, Patriots second... this is the Bills division”

    VerdictHit
    80Hit · naive 40
    80this call40a naive guess40better than naive2difficulty+80skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    80
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    40
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Season Win TotalsNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins

    What happened14called 9
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    naive:
    6.25
    skill:
    0
    what happened:
    14
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    they said:
    9
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    45naive 35

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.