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Ryan FitzpatrickFeb 7, 2026

Fitzpatrick picks New England to win the Super Bowl, arguing they'll shorten the game with the run and that Josh McDaniels will put Drake Maye in good situations.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

0Miss · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Ryan Fitzpatrick said

I think the New England Patriots are gonna win this game.
Our reading: New England Patriots to beat Seahawks
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Colin gives his Super Bowl pick, Fernando Mendoza stops by The Herd
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 6
  2. GradedAug 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Seahawks

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5 · underdog pick, Patriots about 1 in 3 (32%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NE
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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