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Steven RuizSep 9, 2026

Ruiz picks the Rams to blow out the Bills 38-17 in the Super Bowl, with a Rams-Seahawks NFC title game rematch and Buffalo beating Baltimore in the AFC Championship.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 6 waiting
7.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
43.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
6Waitingnot graded yet

What Steven Ruiz said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
They'll beat Baltimore in a surprisingly low-scoring game to make their first Super Bowl in three decades, only to get blown out by the Rams two weeks later.
Steven Ruiz, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
2026 Super Bowl Predictions: Battle Of L.A.? Cowboys Win It All? Our Super Bowl LXI Picks
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 9
  2. PlayedOct 12
  3. GradedOct 13
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams 38 — Bills 17“Score prediction: Rams 38, Bills 17”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl“I'll take the Bills ... to make their first Super Bowl in three decades”
  3. 3Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore“They'll beat Baltimore in a surprisingly low-scoring game to make their first Super Bowl in three decades”
  4. 4Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“Steven Ruiz: Rams Defeat Bills”
  5. 5Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl“Steven Ruiz: Rams Defeat Bills”
  6. 6Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs“which is why I'm predicting another matchup between these teams in the NFC title game”
  7. 7Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs“They'll beat Baltimore in a surprisingly low-scoring game”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams 38 — Bills 171Score PredictionsBills 37–347.1443.52−72.75
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl2Conference Champions————
Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore3Game Outcome Picks————
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl4Conference Champions————
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl5Super Bowl Picks————
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs6Playoff Picks————
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs7Playoff Picks————
7 calls · 1 miss · 6 waiting7.143.5

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

7 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 1 game outcome pick, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 7.1 out of 100, against 43.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 38 — Bills 17

    What happenedBills 37–34called Rams by 21 · lost by 3
    7.14Miss · naive 43.52
    7.14this call43.52a naive guess−36.38worse than naive2difficulty−72.75skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    37-34
    skill:
    −72.75
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    7.14
    baseline:
    43.52
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    naive home margin:
    0.28
    predicted margin:
    21
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Conference ChampionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. 5Super Bowl PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. 6Playoff PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. 7Playoff PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.