Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 6, 2025
Cowherd praised the Cowboys' Micah Parsons trade, arguing Dallas is in a rebuild and can use its stockpiled first-rounders to land a quarterback and another edge rusher, while predicting Dallas's defense will be atrocious without Parsons. They also like Oklahoma to beat Michigan, picks Seattle at home over the 49ers as their favorite pick of the week, calls Mazi Smith a bust, and considers CeeDee Lamb a top-five or six receiver.
Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Colin Cowherd said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMy favorite pick of the week is Seattle at home plus points.
- Where it was said
- The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- Prime Cuts - Cowboys Impressive In Loss To Eagles, NFL Win Totals, Belichick’s Disastrous Start At UNC
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidSep 6, 2025
- GradedAug 7, 2026
- 1Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins“I went through the schedule and it looks like eight and nine, nine and eight to me”
- 2CeeDee Lamb to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards“I will defend the Cede Lamb contract. I think he's a top five or six receiver.”
- 3Mazi Smith to disappoint at the next level“Mozzie Smith was a I wrote this down inactive, so he's a bust.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins1 | Season Win Totals | 11 | 40 | 15 | +50 | |
| CeeDee Lamb to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards2 | Positional Finishes | Finished #10 | 66.67 | 83.33 | −33.33 | |
| Mazi Smith to disappoint at the next level3 | Draft Bust Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 3 calls · 2 close calls · 1 waiting | 53.3 | 49.2 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive3 checkable claims — 1 draft bust call, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 53.3 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
1Season Win TotalsChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins
What happened11called 840Close · naive 1540this call−15a naive guess=25better than naive×2difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 15
- they said:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
2Positional FinishesCeeDee LambDallas Cowboys
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards
What happenedFinished #10called #6 · by receiving yards66.67Close · naive 83.3366.67this call−83.33a naive guess=−16.66worse than naive×2difficulty=−33.33skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −33.33
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 8
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 6
3Draft Bust CallsMazi SmithDallas Cowboys
Mazi Smith to disappoint at the next level
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
53.3naive 49.2
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.Rich Eisen · Trade and Signing Calls · Micah Parsons · Miss 0
Eisen expects Myles Garrett to be traded before the draft and says the Browns will then take Abdul Carter with their early first-round pick; they also predict Buffalo will end up paying James Cook and that Micah Parsons will remain a Cowboy and get their money from Dallas, likely late in the process.Bryan DeArdo · Score Predictions · Chicago Bears · Hit 98
DeArdo picks the Bears to beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night in a defensive game, predicting a 20-16 final score.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.“Stanford Steve” Coughlin · Game Outcome Picks · Chicago Bears · Hit 100
Stanford Steve said the Bears would beat the Buccaneers on Sunday night, and called a player they referred to as "Yakis" their Rookie of the Year.
More draft bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Carter Bahns · Draft Bust Calls · Ashton Jeanty · Waiting
Bahns predicts Ashton Jeanty's role in Las Vegas will continue to shrink, with Mike Washington Jr. functioning as a co-starter/early-down back while Jeanty becomes a receiving-game specialist rather than the every-down featured back they were drafted to be.Jason Fitz · Draft Bust Calls · Cam Ward · Waiting
Fitz predicted Joe Burrow will win NFL MVP, argued Cam Ward is on track to be remembered as the worst No. 1 overall bust since JaMarcus Russell, said the Titans could very likely land the No. 1 pick again, expects Jacksonville to blow out the Colts, sees Indiana's Charlie Becker as a high first-round pick, and believes Lamar Jackson stays in Baltimore long-term.Carter Bahns · Draft Bust Calls · Anthony Richardson · Waiting
Reviewing the moves that led to Chris Ballard's firing, Bahns judges Anthony Richardson, taken No. 4 overall in 2023, a bust who has failed to justify their first-round draft slot.Carter Bahns · Draft Bust Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Waiting
Bahns argues McCarthy's Minnesota tenure was a bust and that they are unlikely to ever live up to their No. 10 overall draft billing, predicting the Giants' low-cost gamble won't pay off and that they may not even beat out Jameis Winston for the starting job.