Colin Cowherd· Sep 6, 2025
Cowherd praised the Cowboys' Micah Parsons trade, arguing Dallas is in a rebuild and can use its stockpiled first-rounders to land a quarterback and another edge rusher, while predicting Dallas's defense will be atrocious without Parsons. He also likes Oklahoma to beat Michigan, picks Seattle at home over the 49ers as his favorite pick of the week, calls Mazi Smith a bust, and considers CeeDee Lamb a top-five or six receiver.
“My favorite pick of the week is Seattle at home plus points.”
said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
3 checkable claims — 1 draft bust call, 1 positional finishe and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 53.3 out of 100, against 49.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
winsTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsChicago BearsSep 6, 2025
Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins
“I went through the schedule and it looks like eight and nine, nine and eight to me”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 15+50 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- 11
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 15
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesCeeDee LambDallas CowboysSep 6, 2025
CeeDee Lamb to finish top 6 at his position, by receiving yards
“I will defend the Cede Lamb contract. I think he's a top five or six receiver.”
Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 83.33-33.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -33.33
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 66.67
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 8
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 6
- Draft Bust CallsMazi SmithDallas CowboysSep 6, 2025
Mazi Smith to disappoint at the next level
“Mozzie Smith was a I wrote this down inactive, so he's a bust.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- Adam ChudwinGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100In his annual game-by-game Bears prediction, Chudwin went through all 17 games and landed on a 12-5 season for Chicago.
- John BreechGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsHit · 100A CBS Sports piece predicts the week each NFL team will suffer its first loss, effectively picking winners in each of those games, and names the Ravens as the league's final undefeated team after a 7-0 start.
- Geoff SchwartzGame Outcome Picks · Dallas CowboysMiss · 0Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field.
More draft bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Anthony RichardsonHit · 100Middlekoff's bold predictions, as relayed on the show, have the Patriots and Colts making the playoffs; he also argues the Colts whiffed on Anthony Richardson, comparing him to Trey Lance.
- Carter BahnsDraft Bust Calls · J.J. McCarthyPendingBahns argues McCarthy's Minnesota tenure was a bust and that he is unlikely to ever live up to his No. 10 overall draft billing, predicting the Giants' low-cost gamble won't pay off and that he may not even beat out Jameis Winston for the starting job.
- John GreenDraft Bust Calls · T.J. SandersPendingGreen expects the Bills to place second-year defensive lineman T.J. Sanders on injured reserve while Phidarian Mathis returns from suspension to the active roster, and argues Sanders is already trending toward bust status relative to his No. 41 overall selection.
- Blaine GrisakDraft Bust Calls · Quentin JohnstonPendingGrisak argues the Rams still need a third wide receiver and lists five trade candidates they should explore, while judging both Quentin Johnston and Xavier Legette as first-round receivers who have not lived up to their draft billing.
- Carter BahnsDraft Bust Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.PendingBahns argues that Marvin Harrison Jr., the No. 4 overall pick in 2024, is failing to live up to his draft slot and is headed toward being a first-round bust before he reaches free agency.
- Jared DubinDraft Bust Calls · Marvin Harrison Jr.PendingDubin argues Marvin Harrison Jr., the No. 4 overall pick, has been marginalized in Arizona's offense and warns that if his current usage and effort continue he will be remembered as a major draft bust.