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Matt Money SmithFeb 26, 2026

Smith says Ladd McConkie is a legitimate No. 1 receiver who could post a Jaylen Waddle-like season of roughly 1,700 yards and eight touchdowns, and they predict second-year Chargers receiver Trey Harris will have a big year under Mike McDaniel. They also expect Philip Rivers to become an NFL head coach and thinks the Chargers offense will be good in the coming season.

Said on air or in an interview · 3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
47.2Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
85A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Matt Money Smith said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
He could end up with Jalen Waddle like seventeen hundred yard eight touchdown season.
Matt Money Smith, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
3 and Out with John Middlekauff (podcast)
The episode
3 & Out - LIVE from The NFL Combine, Seahawks GM John Schneider stops by, Los Angeles Chargers voice Matt "Money" Smith joins
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 26
  2. GradedAug 7
  1. 1Ladd McConkey to record 1,700 receiving yards“He could end up with Jalen Waddle like seventeen hundred yard eight touchdown season. It wouldn't surprise me.”
  2. 2Ladd McConkey to be 1st on the depth chart“I think Lad's a legitimate number one receiver.”
  3. 3Ladd McConkey to record 8 receiving tds“He could end up with Jalen Waddle like seventeen hundred yard eight touchdown season. It wouldn't surprise me.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Ladd McConkey to record 1,700 receiving yards1Player Season Numbers789089.95−89.95
Ladd McConkey to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart CallsNo. 291.6791.670
Ladd McConkey to record 8 receiving tds3Player Season Numbers65073.31−23.31
3 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled47.285

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 47.2 out of 100, against 85 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

receiving yards
1,700They said
789What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Player Season NumbersLadd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    Ladd McConkey to record 1,700 receiving yards

    What happened789called 1,700
    0Miss · naive 89.95
    0this call89.95a naive guess−89.95worse than naive1difficulty−89.95skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    749.37
    skill:
    −89.95
    what happened:
    789
    player:
    Ladd McConkey
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    89.95
    they said:
    1700
    statistic:
    receiving_yards
    difficulty:
    1
    last season:
    1149
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    position average:
    349.73
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsLadd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    Ladd McConkey to be 1st on the depth chart

    What happenedNo. 2called No. 1 · by receptions
    91.67Hit · naive 91.67
    91.67this call91.67a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Ladd McConkey
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    WR
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    measured by:
    receptions
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Player Season NumbersLadd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    Ladd McConkey to record 8 receiving tds

    What happened6called 8
    50Close · naive 73.31
    50this call73.31a naive guess−23.31worse than naive1difficulty−23.31skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    5.2
    skill:
    −23.31
    what happened:
    6
    player:
    Ladd McConkey
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    73.31
    they said:
    8
    statistic:
    receiving_tds
    difficulty:
    1
    last season:
    7
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    position average:
    3.4
    zero at percent out:
    50
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    47.2naive 85

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