Shanna McCarriston#10 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 10, 2026
They pick the Patriots to beat the Raiders at home in a close game, 27-24, behind improved play from Drake Maye, and expects Maxx Crosby to sack Maye at least once.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Shanna McCarriston said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe home team wins a close battle behind Maye's improved play and the ability to protect him enough to make some plays.
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Where to watch Patriots vs. Raiders: Keys to victory, injury news for AFC clash
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 10
- PlayedOct 11
- GradedOct 11
- 1New England Patriots 27 — Raiders 24“Pick: Patriots 27-24”
- 2New England Patriots to beat Raiders“The home team wins a close battle behind Maye's improved play”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Patriots 27 — Raiders 241 | Score Predictions | Patriots 45–17 | 50 | 50 | 0 | |
| New England Patriots to beat Raiders2 | Game Outcome Picks | Patriots 45–17 | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · all settled | 75 | 75 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
All 2 have settled, averaging 75 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Score PredictionsNew England Patriots
New England Patriots 27 — Raiders 24
What happenedPatriots 45–17called Patriots by 3 · won by 2850Close · naive 5050this call−50a naive guess=0better than naive×1.78difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5, total 45.5 · this 27–24 calls a closer game (Patriots by 3) and more points (51).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 17-45
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- naive home margin:
- 0.88
- predicted margin:
- 3
2Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
What happenedPatriots 45–17Raiders at Patriots100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.78difficulty=0skillClosing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 17-45
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
75naive 75
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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