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TJ Jefferson#66 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 25, 2025

TJ Jefferson predicted the AFC North order of finish: Ravens first, Steelers second, Bengals third, Browns last, citing Cincinnati's defensive woes and the continuation of the Tomlin streak.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · all settled
45Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
45A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 2Settlednone still waiting
#66TJ Jefferson’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What TJ Jefferson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there.
TJ Jefferson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
AFC North Predictions
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidAug 25, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13–17, 2026
  1. 1Baltimore Ravens to win the division“And who's first? First? Yeah. Well, that would be the Baltimore Ravens.”
  2. 2Power Rankings“So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there. TJ Jefferson's AFC North predictions for 2025”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Baltimore Ravens to win the division1Division Winners—000
“So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the…”2Power Rankings—90900
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled4545

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 45 out of 100, against 45 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “So, yeah, Ravens, Steelers, Bengals, Browns bringing up the rear there. TJ Jefferson's AFC North predictions for 2025”

    VerdictHit
    90Hit · naive 90
    90this call90a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    90
    baseline:
    90
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    45naive 45

Others on the same people

More division winners

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