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Ryan Tracy· Feb 27, 2026

Tracy said David Bailey, after a full combine workout, is now his favorite to be drafted by the Jets with the No. 2 overall pick, ranks Caden McDonald and Lee Hunter as his top two defensive tackles in the class, and slotted several other prospects (Overton late Day 2/third round, Ramel Hite third round, Malachi Lawrence around 55-60, Iowa's Maxwell fourth-fifth round). He also suggested QB McCoy might be the first quarterback taken.

“One of them is now my favorite to go to the jets. David Bailey showed up and didn't miss a beat.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chiefs (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks, 1 position order call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
third round (picks 65–100)They said
70What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Romello Height to be picked “third round” (picks 65–100)

    “He's also, a fringe top 100 guy. I do think he's more of a third round part of of day two”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Romello Height
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    70
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    “One of them is now my favorite to go to the jets. David Bailey showed up and didn't miss a beat... it looks more and more like he might end up there.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malachi Lawrence to be picked “around the 55, 60 mark”

    “I might be a little low on Lawrence... I think he's around the 55, 60 mark for me.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Max Llewellyn to be picked “fringe fourth, fifth guy”

    “I got way more out of Maxwell from Iowa than I expected... I I think he was a fringe fourth, fifth guy for me. He may move up a little bit too”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Top Player ListsFeb 27, 2026

    “He is my number one defensive tackle in this league... The other guy was Lee Hunter. My number one and number two tackles at this point.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • L.T. Overton to be picked “Late day two in the third”

    “that's really important for for him and where he's going to go, which I think is late day three I'm sorry. Late day two in the in the third”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jermod McCoy to be 1st quarterback off the board

    “He might be the first quarterback taken, but he didn't play at all last year coming off of an injury”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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