Kyle CrabbsDec 6, 2024
Crabbs ranks their top 10 EDGE defender prospects for the 2025 NFL Draft, with Georgia's Jalon Walker first and Penn State's Abdul Carter second. They also note Carter is inside their top 10 overall prospects and that Shemar Stewart will be drafted early.
Published in writing · The 33rd TeamRead the original
What Kyle Crabbs said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThis year's collection of pass rusher talent is where it's at for the 2025 class.
- Where it was published
- The 33rd Team
- The piece
- 2025 NFL Draft: Early Ranking Top 10 EDGE Defender Prospects | The 33rd Team
- The original
- The copy as archived Dec 7, 2024
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy is the record of what it said.
- SaidDec 6, 2024
- GradedAug 5, 2026
- 1Abdul Carter to be picked “top-10 overall” (picks 1–10)“He is still within my top 10 overall prospects eligible for the 2025 class despite not ranking at No. 1 on this list.”
- 2James Pearce Jr. to be picked “early”“that's not why a team is drafting Pearce Jr. early”
- 3Top Player Lists“Early Top 10 2025 NFL Draft EDGE Rankings — 1. Jalon Walker, LB, Georgia ... 10. JACK SAWYER, EDGE, OHIO STATE BUCKEYES”
- 4Shemar Stewart to be picked “early in the draft”“it isn't hard to see why a freak athlete like Stewart gets his name called early in the draft”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Carter to be picked “top-10 overall” (picks 1–10)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 3 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| James Pearce Jr. to be picked “early”2 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| “Early Top 10 2025 NFL Draft EDGE Rankings — 1. Jalon Walker,…”3 | Top Player Lists | — | — | — | — | |
| Shemar Stewart to be picked “early in the draft”4 | Mock Draft Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 3 waiting | 100 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Abdul Carter to be picked “top-10 overall” (picks 1–10)
What happenedWent 3100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top-10 overall (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Mock Draft PicksJames Pearce Jr.Tennessee Titans
James Pearce Jr. to be picked “early”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“Early Top 10 2025 NFL Draft EDGE Rankings — 1. Jalon Walker, LB, Georgia ... 10. JACK SAWYER, EDGE, OHIO STATE BUCKEYES”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Mock Draft PicksShemar Stewart
Shemar Stewart to be picked “early in the draft”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Lane Mills · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Miss 0
Mills predicts the Titans finish 2026 at 6-11 (2-4 in the AFC South), missing the playoffs, with specific wins over the Jets, Giants, Browns, Jaguars, Raiders and Colts, and names Wan'Dale Robinson team MVP with another 1,000-yard, seven-touchdown season as Cam Ward's top receiver.Nathan Jahnke · Roster Spot Calls · K.J. Osborn · Hit 100
An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.Gennaro Filice · Score Predictions · Tennessee Titans · Hit 88
The lone NFL.com pick for Tennessee, projecting a low-scoring 14-13 Titans upset built on their defensive front containing Jonathan Taylor.Dan Graziano · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Hit 100
The lone ESPN pick for Tennessee, taking the Titans to beat the Colts.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Tennessee Titans · Hit 100
Sullivan says it would not surprise them if the Titans beat the Colts for their first win of the season, arguing the line is too big in the divisional matchup.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.