Tangle (podcast)Nov 3, 2026
A staff editor identified in the transcript only as Audrey says Democrats' best upset chance in Tennessee is the newly drawn 9th District, but that Justin Pearson's odds there are vanishingly slim and Republicans should win it.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Tangle (podcast)Hear the original
100Hit · out of 100
Brent Taylor wonWhat happenedcalled, not yet certified
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+100Skillafter difficulty
What Tangle (podcast) said
However, his chances to win the seat remain vanishingly slim, as Pearson's progressive messaging is unlikely to win over solid Trump voters.
- Where it was said
- Tangle (podcast)
- The episode
- SPECIAL EDITION: The 2026 midterms are here.
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 3
- Election DayNov 3
- GradedNov 10
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Republicans to win the 2026 U.S. House election in Tennessee's district 9
What happenedBrent Taylor woncalled, not yet certified100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2026-house-tn-09
- election year:
- 2026
- skill:
- 100
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- result from:
- wikipedia-2026
- who won:
- Brent Taylor
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- race name:
- 2026 U.S. House election in Tennessee's district 9
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Brent Taylor
- days before the vote when called:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2026-11-03
- the result is:
- called
- the party they named:
- Republican
The race in this take
every call on eachMore race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.