Pat GustavsonApr 22, 2026
Gustafson handled the even-numbered mock draft picks: David Bailey No. 2 to the Jets, Jeremiah Love No. 4 to the Titans, Karnell Tate No. 6 to the Browns, Ruben Bane No. 8 to the Saints, Jordan Tyson No. 10 to the Giants, and so on. They also said Ty Simpson will be the biggest first-round bust and predicted the Cowboys will trade up into the top five.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)Hear the original
What Pat Gustavson said
I'm actually gonna go with David Bailey here, the edge rusher from Texas Tech.
- Where it was said
- Bran Coverage with BenchwarmerBran (podcast)
- The episode
- Full First Round Mock Draft + Latest NFL News - Podcast for 4/22
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 22
- GradedOct 1
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mock Draft Picks | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| Trade and Signing Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Draft Bust Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Depth Chart Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team Draft Slot Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| All | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
How each call scored
20 checkable claims — 14 mock draft picks, 3 draft bust calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 30 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
14 of 20 have settled so far, averaging 68.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Mock Draft Picks7 hits · 5 close calls · 2 missesShow ▸Hide ▾
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 30
“I am going to take Denzel Boston here Okay. With the pick over Omar Cooper Junior”
Went 39mocked at 3067.71Closemock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 30
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6
“So I'm gonna go with Karnell Tate here from Ohio State.”
Went 4mocked at 691.7Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 12
“I think they'll go Keldrick Falk Okay. From Auburn.”
Went 31mocked at 1243.91Closemock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Keldric Faulk
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 22
“Kaden Proctor's here. The tackle from Alabama. I think he's I think he's the pick here”
Went 12mocked at 2264.84Closemock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Blake Miller to be picked at number 28
“Do I take my fourth straight offensive lineman in this draft? You bet your ass I do. Blake Miller from Clemson.”
Went 17mocked at 2862.09Closemock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Blake Miller
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 62.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 62.09
- predicted pick:
- 28
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Tennessee, interesting here... I'm gonna go Jeremiah Love here.”
Went 3mocked at 495.76Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 14
“the Ray the Ravens... I'm gonna go Jermaine McCoy here.”
Went 101mocked at 142.31Missmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 2.31
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 2.31
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10
“I I would say Jordan Tyson is the pick here at the Giants.”
Went 8mocked at 1091.7Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Jordyn Tyson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 16
“I get to pick for the New York Jets again... I'm gonna go with Ola Iona here in the more in the interior.”
Went 14mocked at 1691.7Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 24
“I think this is honestly one of the ideal scenarios for the Browns to get Tate at six and then get Freeling here.”
Went 19mocked at 2480.52Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 24
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“Number two overall... I'm actually gonna go with David Bailey here, the edge rusher from Texas Tech.”
Went 2mocked at 2100Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 32
“To round this out, I'm gonna go with Caden McDonald from Ohio State.”
Went undraftedmocked at 320Missmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Cade McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 26
“So the Buffalo Bills... They need help on the line. Caleb Lomus here. He's my pick.”
Went 28mocked at 2691.7Hitmock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Caleb Lomu
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 28
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“I'm gonna go Ruben Bane, the head rusher from Miami”
Went 15mocked at 873.84Closemock order 84.89 − 50 for a shuffle = 34.89 × 1 difficulty = +34.89 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 34.89
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 84.89
Trade and Signing Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Tony Pollard to move
“I feel like if they draft Jeremiah Love, one of Tony Pollard or Taijae Spears is hitting the road.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Draft Bust Calls3 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- —Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Ty Simpson to disappoint at the next level
“Tye Simpson, because he's gonna get picked in the first round and then I I think also the wide receivers”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Depth Chart Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Chris Olave to be 1st on the depth chart
“if the Saints take a wide receiver, Chris Olave is still that guy”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Team Draft Slot Calls1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Dallas Cowboys to pick “picking in the top five” (picks 1–5)
“I 100% think that they will be picking in the top five. I think they will trade up with either Tennessee or Arizona”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Denzel Boston, Miami Dolphins, Carnell Tate, Cleveland Browns, Keldric Faulk, Dallas Cowboys, Kadyn Proctor, Los Angeles Chargers, Blake Miller, Houston Texans, Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans, Jermod McCoy, Baltimore Ravens, Jordyn Tyson, New York Giants, Olaivavega Ioane, New York Jets, Monroe Freeling, David Bailey, Cade McDonald, Seattle Seahawks, Caleb Lomu, Buffalo Bills, Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints, Tony Pollard, Chris Olave, K.C. Concepcion, Ty Simpson
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.