Skip to main content

Jake RiepmaFeb 26, 2026

Reitma said their first-round pick for the Lions would be Texas A&M edge defender Cassius Howell at pick No. 17, believing a talented edge rusher will be available there to pair with Aidan Hutchinson.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Lions (podcast)Hear the original

35Miss · out of 100
Went 41What happenedmocked at 17
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
35.36This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Jake Riepma said

I just feel like there's gonna be a talented edge rusher to snag there at pick number 17
Our reading: Cashius Howell to be picked at number 17
Where it was said
Locked On Lions (podcast)
The episode
LIONS SQUAD SHOW: Detroit Lions News From NFL Combine + Taylor Decker RETURNING Next Season
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 26
  2. GradedAug 14

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 35.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
17They said
41What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksCashius HowellDetroit Lions

    Cashius Howell to be picked at number 17

    What happenedWent 41mocked at 17
    35.36Miss · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    35.36
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    35.36
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.