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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 12, 2025

Rosenthal reads out the show's 32-to-1 NFL power rankings, with the Rams first and the Raiders last, and separately picks the Buccaneers to hold on in the NFC South and the Texans to finish at least 11-6.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
58.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
37.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
They are gonna get to eleven and six at worst, and there's a pretty decent chance they win all four of those games.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Bucs-Falcons TNF Insanity and Week 15 Power Rankings!
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidDec 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division“I do think the Buccaneers, despite tonight, are still my favorite in the NFC style barely over the Panthers”
  2. 2Power Rankings“Let's do the power rankings bottom to top... number thirty two, the Las Vegas Raiders... The Tennessee Titans at thirty one, Jets thirty. The Commanders... twenty ninth... The Giants at twenty eight, Cardinals twenty seven... Brown's at twenty six... the eighth worst team in the NFL... the Falcons here at twenty four... Viking to or twenty three. The Colts all the way down at twenty two... the Bengals are even as high as twenty... the Steelers at seventeen, the Ravens at eighteen, the Panthers at nineteen... the Chiefs at fifteen, the Cowboys at fourteen, and the Eagles at thirteen... forty nine Ers at nine... Chargers at ten, Bears eleven, Jaguars twelve... at eight [Lions]... the Patriots down at seven... tied with the Broncos... the Bills and the Texans tied at fourth... had the Bills ahead of the Texans... we had the exact same one two, three, Rams, Seahawks, and Packers”
  3. 3Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins“They are not going to lose two more games the rest of the season. They are gonna get to eleven and six at worst”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division1Division Winners—000
“Let's do the power rankings bottom to top... number thirty two,…”2Power Rankings—94.7566.41+34.58
Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins3Season Win Totals128045+42.7
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled58.337.1

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 58.3 out of 100, against 37.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.22difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.22
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    won the division:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Power Rankings

    “Let's do the power rankings bottom to top... number thirty two, the Las Vegas Raiders... The Tennessee Titans at thirty one, Jets thirty. The Commanders... twenty ninth... The Giants at twenty eight, Cardinals twenty seven... Brown's at twenty six... the eighth worst team in the NFL... the Falcons here at twenty four... Viking to or twenty three. The Colts all the way down at twenty two... the Bengals are even as high as twenty... the Steelers at seventeen, the Ravens at eighteen, the Panthers at nineteen... the Chiefs at fifteen, the Cowboys at fourteen, and the Eagles at thirteen... forty nine Ers at nine... Chargers at ten, Bears eleven, Jaguars twelve... at eight [Lions]... the Patriots down at seven... tied with the Broncos... the Bills and the Texans tied at fourth... had the Bills ahead of the Texans... we had the exact same one two, three, Rams, Seahawks, and Packers”

    VerdictHit
    94.75Hit · naive 66.41
    94.75this call66.41a naive guess28.34better than naive1.22difficulty+34.58skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    34.58
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    94.75
    baseline:
    66.41
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Season Win TotalsHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to finish with 11 wins

    What happened12called 11
    80Hit · naive 45
    80this call45a naive guess35better than naive1.22difficulty+42.7skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    HOU
    naive:
    9.25
    skill:
    42.7
    what happened:
    12
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    5
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    45
    they said:
    11
    difficulty:
    1.22
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    4
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    58.3naive 37.1

Others on the same people

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