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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 22, 2026

Eisen laid out their "come at me" mock draft of the top 10 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, including a projected Chiefs trade up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

9 of 9calls landed9 hits · 3 waiting
96.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 9 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
9 of 12Settled3 still waiting
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I think the New York Jets, second overall, choose David Bailey out of Texas Tech.
Rich Eisen, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 1: From the NFL Draft in Pittsburgh with Rich’s Mock Draft, ESPN’s Matt Miller & Bret Michaels In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 22
  2. GradedOct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks9001
Team Draft Slot Calls0002
All9003

How each call scored

12 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 19 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

9 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 96.3 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 2 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
4They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks9 hits · 1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    “Number four, that leaves the Tennessee Titans... they take Jeremiah Love”

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    Went 3mocked at 4
    95.76Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8

    “The Saints now will stick and pick at eight and take Jordan Tyson, the wide receiver out of Arizona State.”

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    Went 8mocked at 8
    100Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “number one overall is okay. It's Fernando Mendez... So Fernando Mendoza's first overall.”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    “And the number 10 overall... I think the Giants stick and pick here and take Caleb Downs”

    Caleb DownsNew York Giants

    Went 11mocked at 10
    95.76Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  5. David Bailey to be picked at number 2

    “I think the New York Jets, second overall, choose David Bailey out of Texas Tech.”

    David BaileyNew York Jets

    Went 2mocked at 2
    100Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6

    “I got him out of Utah going to the Browns here. I'm gonna take him at six.”

    Spencer FanoCleveland Browns

    Went 9mocked at 6
    87.81Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    “And I believe it's the Kansas City Chiefs moving up from nine to take Arbel Reese here.”

    Arvell ReeseKansas City Chiefs

    Went 5mocked at 3
    91.7Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7

    “I think Sonny Styles goes here to the Washington commanders.”

    Sonny StylesWashington Commanders

    Went 7mocked at 7
    100Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5

    “So I'll I'll take Karnell Tate for the Giants here at five.”

    Carnell TateNew York Giants

    Went 4mocked at 5
    95.76Hit

    mock order 95 − 50 for a shuffle = 45 × 1 difficulty = +45 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 9

    “Francis Molineaux to the Cardinals at nine”

    Francisco MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Team Draft Slot Calls2 waitingShow ▸
  1. Arizona Cardinals to pick at number 9

    “go up six spots and take a kid like this and have the Cardinals drop down to nine”

    Arizona Cardinals

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Kansas City Chiefs to pick at number 3

    “I believe it's the Kansas City Chiefs moving up from nine to take Arbel Reese here”

    Kansas City Chiefs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.