Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 4, 2025
Knox picked division orders in the AFC: Bills over Patriots, Dolphins, Jets in the East; Bengals over Ravens, Steelers, Browns in the North; Texans over Jaguars, Colts, Titans in the South; and Chargers over Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders in the West.
Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original
What Jonas Knox said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.
- Where it was said
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 1: Jonas, Brady & LaVar – AFC PREDICTIONS
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidSep 4, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Cincinnati Bengals to win the division“In the AFC North, I've got the Bengals winning the division.”
- 2Buffalo Bills to win the division“In the AFC East, I've got the Buffalo Bills winning the division.”
- 3Houston Texans to win the division“Over in the AFC South, Lebar's favorite division, I've got the Houston Texans finishing one”
- 4Los Angeles Chargers to win the division“But I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
- 5Power Rankings“I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.”
- 6Power Rankings“I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns”
- 7Power Rankings“I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
- 8Power Rankings“I've got the Patriots finishing second in that division, followed by the Dolphins and the Jets bringing up the rear.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Bengals to win the division1 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Buffalo Bills to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Houston Texans to win the division3 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Chargers to win the division4 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| “I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the…”5 | Power Rankings | — | 90 | 70 | +40 | |
| “I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've…”6 | Power Rankings | — | 60 | 90 | −60 | |
| “I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the…”7 | Power Rankings | — | 70 | 60 | +20 | |
| “I've got the Patriots finishing second in that division,…”8 | Power Rankings | — | 90 | 40 | +100 | |
| 8 calls · 2 hits · 2 close calls · 4 misses · all settled | 38.8 | 32.5 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive8 checkable claims — 4 division winners and 4 power rankings — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 38.8 out of 100, against 32.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Division WinnersCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
2Division WinnersBuffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
3Division WinnersHouston Texans
Houston Texans to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
4Division WinnersLos Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×2difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- LAC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
“I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.”
VerdictHit90Hit · naive 7090this call−70a naive guess=20better than naive×2difficulty=+40skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 40
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 70
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns”
VerdictClose60Close · naive 9060this call−90a naive guess=−30worse than naive×2difficulty=−60skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −60
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 90
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
VerdictClose70Close · naive 6070this call−60a naive guess=10better than naive×2difficulty=+20skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 20
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 70
- baseline:
- 60
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“I've got the Patriots finishing second in that division, followed by the Dolphins and the Jets bringing up the rear.”
VerdictHit90Hit · naive 4090this call−40a naive guess=50better than naive×2difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 90
- baseline:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 8 settled calls, each counted once
38.8naive 32.5
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Prisco picked the Bills to win 21-14 at Minnesota.John Breech · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Breech picked the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night by a score of 24-17.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 62
Dajani picked the Bills to edge the Vikings 24-23.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 74
Dubin picked Buffalo to win a low-scoring Monday night game in Minnesota, 20-14.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Buffalo Bills · Close 76
Sullivan picked the Bills to beat the Vikings 24-17.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen called the 49ers-as-NFC-favorites take an overreaction, picked the Jaguars to beat the Titans and win their division, leaned Ravens over the Steelers in the Week 18 Sunday night game, expects the Bills to beat the Jets even without Josh Allen, sees the Chargers as the AFC's seventh seed, agreed Tyler Shough could win Offensive Rookie of the Year with a good Saints 2026, said Malik Willis will be a starter somewhere next season, and insisted Detroit goes into 2026 with Goff.