Skip to main content

Lance Zierlein#11 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2025

Filling in for Daniel Jeremiah, Lance said Jayden Daniels will win Offensive Rookie of the Year over Brock Bowers.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Jayden Daniels wonWhat happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#11Lance Zierlein’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Lance Zierlein said

it's gonna be Jayden, and I think Jayden deserves to win it this year
Our reading: Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
Ranking Playoff QBs Into 4 Tiers + NFLPA All-Pro List Review
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Award PicksJayden DanielsWashington Commanders

    Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    What happenedJayden Daniels won
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was C.J. Stroud, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Jayden Daniels
    season:
    2024
    who won:
    Jayden Daniels
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.