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Ralph VacchianoSep 28, 2026

Vacchiano argues the 1-2 Patriots' Super Bowl run looks like a fluke and their 2026 season is effectively lost, that the Texans' window has shut with C.J. Stroud not good enough to win a title, that the 3-0 Vikings are a quarterback away from contending with Kevin O'Connell an early Coach of the Year front-runner, and that the Chargers' 0-3 season is over though Harbaugh and Herbert will stay put.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting2 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 2Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Ralph Vacchiano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But don’t count out O’Connell, who might be the early front-runner for NFL Coach of the Year and has gotten the most out of middling QBs in the past.
Ralph Vacchiano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
NFL Fallout Week 3: The Patriots Are Battling More Than A Super Bowl Hangover
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers“Jim Harbaugh (signed through 2028) and Justin Herbert (2029) aren’t going anywhere.”
  2. 2Kevin O'Connell to win NFL Coach of the Year“But don’t count out O’Connell, who might be the early front-runner for NFL Coach of the Year and has gotten the most out of middling QBs in the past.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers1Trade and Signing Calls————
Kevin O'Connell to win NFL Coach of the Year2Coach Award Picks————
2 calls · 2 waiting——

How each call scored

2 checkable claims — 1 coach award pick and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers

    Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Coach Award Picks

    Kevin O'Connell to win NFL Coach of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More coach award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.