Jeff PearlmanOct 18, 2025
The author, a lifelong Jets fan, said the Jets will end up with the No. 1 pick in the draft.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Jeff Pearlman said
And they're going to get the first pick of the draft and there's not even a marque quarterback today.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- GMFB Saturday: Donnie Wahlberg, Top 5 in the NFL, and Jeff Pearlman!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidOct 18, 2025
- GradedAug 5, 2026
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 95.8 out of 100, against 80.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Team Draft Slot CallsNew York Jets
New York Jets to pick at number 1
What happenedPicked at 2called 195.76Hit · naive 80.5295.76this call−80.52a naive guess=15.24better than naive×1.67difficulty=+25.44skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 7 the year before
- skill:
- 25.44
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 80.52
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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More team draft slot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jake Riepma · Team Draft Slot Calls · Detroit Lions · Hit 100
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After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick.Chris Brockman · Team Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati Bengals · Miss 26
Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; they also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.Rich Eisen · Team Draft Slot Calls · Miami Dolphins · Close 74
Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and they leaned Steelers over the Patriots.Rich Eisen · Team Draft Slot Calls · Green Bay Packers · Close 42
Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round.