Jeff Pearlman· Oct 18, 2025
The author, a lifelong Jets fan, said the Jets will end up with the No. 1 pick in the draft.
“And they're going to get the first pick of the draft and there's not even a marque quarterback today.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 95.8 out of 100, against 80.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
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Their call against what actually happened.
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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Team Draft Slot CallsNew York JetsOct 18, 2025
New York Jets to pick at number 1
“And they're going to get the first pick of the draft and there's not even a marque quarterback today.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 80.52+25.44 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- they picked 7 the year before
- skill:
- 25.44
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 80.52
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
What others said about the same people
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up.
- Devon PlatanaRoster Spot Calls · Arian SmithMiss · 0Platana projects the Jets' post-move wide receiver depth chart for 2026 — Garrett Wilson first, Adonai Mitchell second, rookie Omar Cooper Jr. third, Isaiah Williams fourth, Tim Patrick fifth and Jamaal Pritchett sixth — with Cam Camper, Quincy Skinner Jr. and Arian Smith landing on the practice squad. He also expects a bounce-back 1,000-yard season from Wilson.
- Nick FariaRoster Spot Calls · Jelani WoodsHit · 100Faria projects the Jets' depth chart entering the third week of training camp, naming starters, backups and bubble players across every position group, plus roster-spot calls on Jelani Woods, Xavier Newman, VJ Payne, Tre Brown and Samuel Womack III.
- Gregg RosenthalRoster Spot Calls · Davante AdamsHit · 100Gregg Rosenthal predicted both Ohio State running backs go in the top 50, that Cam Ward has a decent chance to go No. 1 overall and won't fall past the first couple of picks, that Shedeur Sanders is a tier below him, that Jackson Dart won't be drafted much higher than Jalen Hurts' late-second slot, that Brady Cook won't be drafted, and that DeVante Adams is somewhat likely to be cut by the Jets.
- Bradley LockerTrade and Signing Calls · Mazi SmithHit · 100Locker lists 10 players on the roster bubble entering 2026, suggesting Tyrone Tracy may not make the Giants' 53, Broderick Jones could be traded or cut by Pittsburgh, Dillon Gabriel may lose the Browns' QB3 job, Evan Neal's Giants tenure may end, and Will Levis will likely be traded or cut by Tennessee.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Wildes made the Jets beating the Packers his upset alert pick, arguing Green Bay's road losing streak and Jordan Love's recent interceptions will catch up with them.
More team draft slot calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jake RiepmaTeam Draft Slot Calls · Detroit LionsHit · 100Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. He also breaks down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team.
- Kent SwansonTeam Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 26After the Chiefs' 14-12 loss to the Raiders, Kent laid out the resulting draft order: Kansas City picking ninth overall (and 40th in round two) in the 2026 draft, with New Orleans eighth, Cincinnati tenth, and the Raiders holding the No. 1 pick.
- Chris BrockmanTeam Draft Slot Calls · New York GiantsHit · 100Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft.
- Chris BrockmanTeam Draft Slot Calls · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 26Brockman argued only about five teams can realistically win the Super Bowl, naming the Bills, Eagles, Ravens and Chargers among them; he also picked Justin Herbert as MVP through three weeks, called the Colts a top-five team with Daniel Jones as an MVP finalist, said the Bears will finish top two in the NFC North, said the Bengals' season is cooked and they'll pick in the top 10, said the Rams are the only NFC threat to the Eagles, and said the Bucs have a team-of-destiny feel.
- Rich EisenTeam Draft Slot Calls · Miami DolphinsClose · 74Eisen picked the Bills to finish with the NFL's best record, said the Dolphins look like a top-five draft pick team, chose the Chiefs over the Colts to make the playoffs despite their 0-2 start, and made week-three picks: Bengals to go 3-0, the Jets to win at Tampa, and he leaned Steelers over the Patriots.
- Rich EisenTeam Draft Slot Calls · Green Bay PackersClose · 42Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round.