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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 12, 2025

Eisen predicts the Cowboys will be picking around No. 32 in next year's draft, i.e. Green Bay's first-rounder will be near the end of the round.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

42Close · out of 100
Picked at 52What happenedcalled 32
28.47A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
42.04This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

When we get the thirty second pick in the draft next year?
Our reading: Green Bay Packers to pick at number 32
The episode
Hour 3: NFL Week 2’s Top 5 Games, plus Actor Michael Chiklis In-Studio
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 13, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 42 out of 100, against 28.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
32They said
52What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Team Draft Slot CallsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers to pick at number 32

    What happenedPicked at 52called 32
    42.04Close · naive 28.47
    42.04this call28.47a naive guess13.57better than naive1.94difficulty+26.34skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 23 the year before
    skill:
    26.34
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    42.04
    baseline:
    28.47
    actual pick:
    52
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    17
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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