Jonas Knox#69 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 18, 2026
Knox took the Bears to cover against the Vikings, said New England would probably beat Pittsburgh even while taking the points, picked the Bengals to win outright in Houston, and took the Broncos over the Jaguars and the Rams over the Giants.
Said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)Hear the original
What Jonas Knox said
I think New England probably wins that game, but I'll take Pittsburgh getting the points.
- Where it was said
- 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 3: Jonas, Brady, & LaVar - Picks Against The Spread
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 18
- PlayedSep 20
- GradedSep 21
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to beat Steelers
What happenedPatriots 20–3Steelers at Patriots100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.94difficulty=0skillClosing line (Sep 20): Patriots by 4.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- NE
- score:
- 3-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- NE
- difficulty:
- 1.94
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 17
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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