Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 20, 2025
Brockman argued the Broncos win the AFC West and a playoff game, that either the Colts or Patriots will be the AFC's No. 1 seed, that the Chiefs are the best team in the NFL, that the Bears win the NFC North, and that the Panthers make the playoffs.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
3 of 6calls landed3 hits · 3 misses · all settled
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
16.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
What Chris Brockman said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBroncos are gonna win the West and win a playoff game.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 7: AFC West Heats Up, Dolphins' Implosion, 49ers' QB Conundrum
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 20, 2025
- GradedAug 13–Oct 7, 2026
- 1Power Rankings“Chiefs are the best team in the NFL. That's your statement? Yep.”
- 2Chicago Bears to win the division“That's four in a row for the Chicago Bears. Yes, sir. They're gonna win the North.”
- 3Denver Broncos to win the division“Broncos are gonna win the West and win a playoff game.”
- 4Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed“either the Colts or the pats are gonna be the one seed in the AFC”
- 5New England Patriots to take the top seed“either the Colts or the pats are gonna be the one seed in the AFC”
- 6Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs“Andy Dalton is back, and I think Falcons aren't blowing my socks off. The Panthers are gonna make the playoffs.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Chiefs are the best team in the NFL. That's your statement? Yep.”1 | Power Rankings | Ranked #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Chicago Bears to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| Denver Broncos to win the division3 | Division Winners | — | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed4 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | 0 | 100 | −167 | |
| New England Patriots to take the top seed5 | Seeding, Byes and Home Field | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs6 | Playoff Picks | Made the playoffs | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| 6 calls · 3 hits · 3 misses · all settled | 50 | 16.7 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 2 division winners, 2 seeding, byes and home field, 1 playoff pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
1They said
23What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
“Chiefs are the best team in the NFL. That's your statement? Yep.”
What happenedRanked #23called #10Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.67difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- finishes where it finished last season (2)
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- window:
- top 1
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- settled by:
- final standings: win percentage, then point differential
- actual rank:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- clubs ranked:
- 32
- predicted rank:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- zero at places out:
- 8
2Division WinnersChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 167
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- won the division:
- yes
3Division WinnersDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win the division
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 167
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- won the division:
- yes
4Seeding, Byes and Home FieldIndianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to take the top seed
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −167
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- missed the playoffs
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 12
5Seeding, Byes and Home FieldNew England Patriots
New England Patriots to take the top seed
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.67difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- host
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 12
6Playoff PicksCarolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to make the playoffs
What happenedMade the playoffs100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- skill:
- 167
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 16.7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
More division winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Daniel DiBerardinis · Division Winners · Atlanta Falcons · Miss 0
Danny D predicts Sonny Styles goes in the top ten (maybe top five), doesn't think Ty Simpson goes before late first round, says Kenyon Sadiq lands with the Rams at 13, and picks the Falcons to win the NFC South while naming the Bengals an AFC bounce-back team. They also give a Final Four of Michigan, Florida, Purdue and Arizona with Michigan winning.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · New York Giants · Miss 0
Cowherd projects the NFC East with the Giants winning the division ahead of Philadelphia, Washington and Dallas, pegging the Cowboys as a six- or seven-win team. They also expect Malik Willis to land a big free-agent deal, Kayvon Thibodeaux to be moved, and Baltimore to lose Isaiah Likely, and they float the Rams reaching on Ty Simpson late in round one.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Los Angeles Chargers · Miss 0
Cowherd unveiled their top 10 NFL teams entering next season, with Seattle first, the Rams second and the Chiefs tenth, and separately picked the Chargers to win the AFC West.Colin Cowherd · Division Winners · Baltimore Ravens · Miss 0
Cowherd likes Jacksonville, Chicago and Pittsburgh (with DK Metcalf back) in the wild-card round, ranks the league's head coaches with McVay first and Ben Johnson seventh, and predicts Lamar Jackson has about two strong years left. They also name the Rams as a possible team to draft a receiver and floats next year's draft having seven first-round quarterbacks.Rich Eisen · Division Winners · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.