Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 30, 2024
Eisen pushed back on the Commanders claim, saying the Ravens and Eagles will go further and could meet in the Super Bowl in New Orleans, and said the Vikings can win in Detroit for the one seed and reach the Super Bowl. They also said the Steelers will not win the AFC North.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Rich Eisen said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 17: Automatic Home Playoff Games For Division Winners Need To Go
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidDec 30, 2024
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl“I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans. Easily, that could be your Super Bowl. Eagles, Ravens. 100.”
- 2Washington Commanders to win the division“Pittsburgh is not going to win the division, bud.”
- 3Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl“So the Vikings can 100% win that game in Detroit and get the week off ... And if they are healthy, they can absolutely make it to the Super Bowl.”
- 4Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl“I would choose the Ravens and the Eagles to last longer than the commanders to the point where that could even be your Super Bowl in New Orleans.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Washington Commanders to win the division2 | Division Winners | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl3 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 0 | 100 | −111 | |
| Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl4 | Conference Champions | PHI and KC won | 0 | 100 | −111 | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled | 25 | 75 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 3 conference champions and 1 division winner — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked PHI100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.11difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- reached the Super Bowl:
- yes
- lost the conference final:
- no
2Division WinnersWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to win the division
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.11difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DAL
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- won the division:
- no
3Conference ChampionsMinnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked MIN0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.11difficulty=−111skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −111
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
4Conference ChampionsBaltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedPHI and KC wonpicked BAL0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.11difficulty=−111skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- −111
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- champions:
- PHI, KC
- difficulty:
- 1.11
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 2
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
25naive 75
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Gilberto Manzano · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Manzano picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Browns, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Damonza Byrd · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says they believe New England will win in Denver even though they are taking the Broncos with the points.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · New England Patriots · Hit 100
The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; they also pick New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. They call Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.Nick Wright · Conference Champions · Denver Broncos · Close 50
Wright picked the Broncos to beat the Patriots in a low-scoring AFC Championship game (17-16), said Sean Payton would coach Denver to the Super Bowl, picked the Rams to win outright in Seattle 31-20, believes the winner of the NFC game wins the Super Bowl with the Rams the better team, and expects Matt Stafford to be named league MVP.AJ Hawk · Conference Champions · Los Angeles Rams · Close 50
Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC they stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.Derek Murphy · Conference Champions · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.