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Jeremy Brener#64 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 9, 2026

Brener predicts the 49ers win a close, high-scoring game 34-31, with Seattle struggling to run the ball and having to throw from behind.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100
49ers 32–29What happenedcalled 49ers by 3 · won by 3
43.62A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#64Jeremy Brener’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jeremy Brener said

I think the Seahawks are going to struggle running the ball in this one, which is what leads to the loss.
Our reading: San Francisco 49ers 34 — Seahawks 31
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
5 Score Predictions for 49ers vs. Seahawks in Week 5
The original
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  1. SaidOct 9
  2. PlayedOct 11
  3. GradedOct 12

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 43.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers 34 — Seahawks 31

    What happened49ers 32–29called 49ers by 3 · won by 3
    100Hit · naive 43.62
    100this call43.62a naive guess56.38better than naive1.78difficulty+100.36skill

    Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 34–31 calls a 49ers win (by 3; the line gave the 49ers 40%) and more points (65).

    How this was scored
    score:
    32-29
    skill:
    100.36
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    43.62
    difficulty:
    1.78
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    14
    naive home margin:
    0.32
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?

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