Bucky Brooks#26 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 13, 2026
In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Bucky Brooks said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI'm gonna take Fernando Mendoza with the Las Vegas Raiders.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens Trade Fallout + Alternating Mock Draft 2.0
- The original
- Hear the original
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- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidMar 13
- GradedOct 1
- 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“I'm gonna take Fernando Mendoza with the Las Vegas Raiders.”
- 2Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7“the Washington Commanders, dan Quinn continue to think about beefing up this defense... So I'm gonna give them R. Bill Reeves.”
- 3Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11“I'm gonna go with kenyasen Deeke, even though it's early for the tiight end position.”
- 4Spencer Fano to be picked at number 13“now I'm with the l A Rams... I'm gonna go with Spencer for now from utah... let's go with the Utah standout right there, right tack.”
- 5Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5“So I'm gonna give them Caleb Downs at number five.”
- 6Carnell Tate to be picked at number 9“Nets Cartnell take going to the Kansas City Chiefs... Cardino Tate is a guy that we're going to go with.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| Arvell Reese to be picked at number 72 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 5 | 91.7 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 113 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 16 | 80.52 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| Spencer Fano to be picked at number 134 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 9 | 84.09 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| Caleb Downs to be picked at number 55 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 11 | 77.11 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| Carnell Tate to be picked at number 96 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 4 | 80.52 | 50 | +24.29 | |
| 6 calls · 5 hits · 1 close call · all settled | 85.7 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 85.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
2Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseWashington Commanders
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7
What happenedWent 5mocked at 791.7Hit · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
3Mock Draft PicksKenyon SadiqMiami Dolphins
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 11
What happenedWent 16mocked at 1180.52Hit · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
4Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoLos Angeles Rams
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 13
What happenedWent 9mocked at 1384.09Hit · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
5Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York Giants
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
What happenedWent 11mocked at 577.11Close · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
6Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateKansas City Chiefs
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 9
What happenedWent 4mocked at 980.52Hit · naive 5074.29this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=24.29better than naive×1difficulty=+24.29skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 24.29
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 74.29
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
85.7naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.