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John Breech#34 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 2, 2026

Breech picks the Bengals to beat the Jaguars in Cincinnati, arguing Trevor Lawrence's struggles against the Bengals continue.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Jaguars 22–17What happenedJaguars at Bengals
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
#34John Breech’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What John Breech said

John Breech likes the Bengals to win in a battle of 2-1 AFC teams with playoff aspirations.
Our reading: Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jaguars
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 2
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Jaguars

    What happenedJaguars 22–17Jaguars at Bengals
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 57%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    22-17
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

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