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Zachary PerelesOct 6, 2026

Grading every AFC team after four games, Pereles says Buffalo again looks like a playoff team, touts Browns coach Todd Monken as an early Coach of the Year frontrunner, and expects Pittsburgh to land around.500 as usual.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Zachary Pereles said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
This looks like a playoff team once again, but unless the same old issues get fixed, it won't be a Super Bowl team.
Zachary Pereles, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
AFC team grades: Chiefs among four teams in 'A' range, three teams receive 'F' after four games played
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Todd Monken to win Coach of the Year“GM Andrew Berry and early Coach of the Year frontrunner Todd Monken should be very excited.”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs“This looks like a playoff team once again, but unless the same old issues get fixed, it won't be a Super Bowl team.”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8–9 wins“The Steelers are on pace to do the sort of thing they always do of late: go about .500 with a low-ceiling offense and a playmaking defense and either miss the playoffs or sputter out of it in the first round.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Todd Monken to win Coach of the Year1Coach Award Picks————
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs2Playoff Picks————
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8–9 wins3Season Win Totals————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 1 coach award pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Coach Award Picks

    Todd Monken to win Coach of the Year

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Playoff PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Season Win TotalsPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 8–9 wins

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More coach award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.