Ken BuckOct 4, 2024
Buck said Jeff Crank will win Doug Lamborn's heavily Republican Colorado Springs-area House seat in the general election, and that Republicans otherwise have little chance of winning statewide in Colorado.
Said on air, transcribed by us · RealClearPolitics PodcastHear the original
100Hit · out of 100
Jeff Crank wonWhat happenedcertified result
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty
What Ken Buck said
Jeff Crank in, Colorado Springs just took Doug Lamboer or will take Doug Lamboer's seat in in the elect... In the general election.
- Where it was said
- RealClearPolitics Podcast
- The episode
- The Recovery Efforts for Victims of Hurricane Helene, the New Jobs Report, and Will Liz Cheney's Speech Sway Republican Voters?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 4, 2024
- Election DayNov 5, 2024
- GradedOct 9, 2026
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Jeff Crank to win the 2024 U.S. House election in Colorado's district 5
What happenedJeff Crank woncertified result100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1.04difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- yes
- race:
- 2024-house-co-05
- election year:
- 2024
- skill:
- 0
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Republican
- result from:
- wikipedia-2024-house
- who won:
- Jeff Crank
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2024 U.S. House election in Colorado's district 5
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Jeff Crank
- days before the vote when called:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 1.04
- the winner's party:
- Republican
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2024-11-05
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
The race in this take
every call on eachMore race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.