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Rich Eisen· Feb 27, 2025

From the combine, Eisen argued Travis Hunter is worthy of being the No. 1 overall pick, and projected him as a perennial Pro Bowler who will eventually have to pick a side of the ball.

“The fact that nobody bats an eye saying that when he takes half the field away when a shutdown corner's available in this draft makes me think, you know, he's first overall pick, material”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 pro bowl and all-pro call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 47.9 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 1

    “makes me think, you know, he's first overall pick, material certainly since as you get to learn who he is”

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to make Pro Bowl

    “at some point in his career, he'll have to decide which side of the football to basically spend the majority of his time on when he gets, you know, knock on wood, deep into his twenties as a perennial pro bowler”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
    How this was scored
    made:
    no
    naive:
    he did not make it the year before, so the naive pick said no
    skill:
    -100
    player:
    d3e6a444-a71b-4581-9115-4fd9f9a29e27
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    selection:
    pro_bowl
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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