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Kyle Brandt#56 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 30, 2025

Brandt expects Buffalo to beat Kansas City in their regular-season meeting, consistent with the rivalry's pattern, and thinks the Patriots hosting a playoff game under Mike Vrabel would surprise nobody. Looking back at their preseason picks, they stand by the Seahawks winning the NFC West and doubles down on the Steelers making the playoffs.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#56Kyle Brandt’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kyle Brandt said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So listen, history tells us that Buffalo coming off scoring forty points and Josh Allam's grandmother time to smile, will probably win this game.
Kyle Brandt, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Thursday Hour 2: Chiefs/Bills matchup, Maye or Nix Playoffs, Preseason Predictions, and QB Comebacks
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidOct 30, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Seattle Seahawks to win the division“the Seattle Seahawks. I had winning the NFC West, not as a wild card, not behind the Rams, not behind San Francisco... I still think all of my picks are going to be right”
  2. 2Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City“history tells us that Buffalo coming off scoring forty points and Josh Allam's grandmother time to smile, will probably win this game as well as Kansas City's playing”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs“It's the Steelers... Is it nine to eight and they squeak in or is it ten and seven and they have a nice comfortable wild card. It is still going to happen. I won't deviate.”
  4. 4New England Patriots to take the top seed“if the Patriots are playing a home playoff game to start the playoff run under Mike Vrabel. I don't think anybody's going to be shocked”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Seattle Seahawks to win the division1Division Winners—1000+156
Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City2Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs3Playoff PicksMade the playoffs1001000
New England Patriots to take the top seed4Seeding, Byes and Home Field————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting10066.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 1 division winner, 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Division WinnersSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.56difficulty+156skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    156
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1.56
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    won the division:
    yes
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.56difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 2): Chiefs by 2.5 · underdog pick, Bills 45%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    21-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    What happenedMade the playoffs
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.56difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    10
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Seeding, Byes and Home FieldNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to take the top seed

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 66.7

Others on the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.