Trevor Sikkema· Mar 3, 2026
Sikkema laid out his first post-combine mock draft, with Fernando Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at two, Sonny Styles going in the top five, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at eight, and first-round landing spots for Dylan Thieneman, Avion Terrell, Ty Simpson, Vega Ohanae and Kenyan Sadiq.
“I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
14 checkable claims — 13 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 72.2 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Sonny Styles
- Tennessee Titans
- Carnell Tate
- New York Giants
- Kenyon Sadiq
- San Francisco 49ers
- Fernando Mendoza
- Arvell Reese
- New York Jets
- Leka Uhatafe
- Los Angeles Chargers
- Ty Simpson
- Pittsburgh Steelers
- Jeremiyah Love
- New Orleans Saints
- Monroe Freeling
- Cleveland Browns
- Avieon Terrell
- Dallas Cowboys
- Dillon Thieneman
- David Bailey
- Miami Dolphins
- Caleb Banks
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesTennessee TitansMar 3, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“and look at the fourth spot, Sonny Styles to the Tennessee titans... I have a hard time thinking he gets out of the top five now.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
- Position Order CallsCarnell TateMar 3, 2026
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“when it comes to Carnell Tate, I still think that he would be a worthy selection as a top 10 overall pick and potentially the number one wide receiver in this class”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateNew York GiantsMar 3, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“You have Karnell Tate, fifth to the Giants.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “back end of the first round to the 49ers” (picks 1–32)
“but Saddique to the niners, why is that because you think, obviously... you add him”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- back end of the first round to the 49ers (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaMar 3, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Your mock draft coming out of the combine, has Fernando Mendoza one”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 3, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“has Fernando Mendoza one, Arvell Reese two... Why do you think the Jets choose Arvel Rees over everybody else not named Fernando Mendoza?”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Leka Uhatafe to be picked at number 22
“And then at 22 overall... with the chargers at 22, I look at four players in particular. One of them is Vega Ohanae.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Leka Uhatafe
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with JAX
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 21
“You have the Steelers going for Ty Simpson twenty first overall... I kind of had him go at that point because I think he's going to be a mid to first round pick”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Let's talk Jeremiah Love. You have him landing eight to the Saints... I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6
“the Giants could still potentially get the players that you have in your mock draft, and Tate and Monroe Freeling for the Giants and Browns respectively”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 56.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 56.94
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
- Mock Draft PicksAvieon TerrellDallas CowboysMar 3, 2026
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20
“But Avion Terrell, he's too good of a football player... I'd consider them at number 20”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Avieon Terrell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 29.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 29.73
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12
“going up to number 12 with Dylan Thieneman... I think that he is well worth that twelfth overall pick for Dallas”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 56.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 56.94
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyMiami DolphinsMar 3, 2026
David Bailey to be picked “the Dolphins' first pick of the Jeff Haffley era”
“you have the Dolphins winding up with David Bailey for for, the first pick there for the Jeff Haffley era”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb BanksMar 3, 2026
Caleb Banks to be picked “doesn't get to pick 22”
“I think they'd take Caleb Banks if he gets to 22, but I don't think he gets to 22.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 48Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceScore Predictions · Dallas CowboysHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- David DroegemeierTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Drogemeier says the Chargers cutting Mekhi Becton is a foregone conclusion, freeing nearly $9 million in cap space, and only a matter of when.
- Mina KimesTrade and Signing Calls · Mekhi BectonHit · 100Kimes projects Washington receiver Denzel Boston as a second-half-of-the-first-round pick and expects the Chargers to move on from Mekhi Becton.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ryan WilsonMock Draft Picks · J.J. McCarthyMiss · 37Recalling his pre-draft evaluation, Wilson notes he had ranked J.J. McCarthy as the fifth quarterback in the 2024 class and given him a second-round grade rather than a first-round one, citing the gap between Michigan's system and NFL demands.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMiss · 18Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Steve MenschMock Draft Picks · Caleb LomuClose · 62Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17.