Trevor SikkemaMar 3, 2026
Sikkema laid out their first post-combine mock draft, with Fernando Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at two, Sonny Styles going in the top five, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at eight, and first-round landing spots for Dylan Thieneman, Avion Terrell, Ty Simpson, Vega Ohanae and Kenyan Sadiq.
Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original
What Trevor Sikkema said
I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.
- Where it was said
- The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)
- The episode
- Hour 1: Jets Tag Breece Hall, Kenneth Walker III Not Tagged, plus PFF’s Trevor Sikkema Talks NFL Mock Draft
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 3
- GradedAug 13–Oct 1
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mock Draft Picks | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | |
| Position Order Calls | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
How each call scored
14 checkable claims — 13 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 72.2 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Mock Draft Picks6 hits · 3 close calls · 2 misses · 2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6
“the Giants could still potentially get the players that you have in your mock draft, and Tate and Monroe Freeling for the Giants and Browns respectively”
Went 19mocked at 656.94Closemock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 56.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 56.94
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 21
“You have the Steelers going for Ty Simpson twenty first overall... I kind of had him go at that point because I think he's going to be a mid to first round pick”
Went 13mocked at 2170.71Closemock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Your mock draft coming out of the combine, has Fernando Mendoza one”
Went 1mocked at 1100Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “back end of the first round to the 49ers” (picks 1–32)
“but Saddique to the niners, why is that because you think, obviously... you add him”
Went 16100Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- back end of the first round to the 49ers (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12
“going up to number 12 with Dylan Thieneman... I think that he is well worth that twelfth overall pick for Dallas”
Went 25mocked at 1256.94Closemock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 56.94
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 56.94
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“and look at the fourth spot, Sonny Styles to the Tennessee titans... I have a hard time thinking he gets out of the top five now.”
Went 7mocked at 487.81Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Let's talk Jeremiah Love. You have him landing eight to the Saints... I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.”
Went 3mocked at 880.52Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“You have Karnell Tate, fifth to the Giants.”
Went 4mocked at 595.76Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Leka Uhatafe to be picked at number 22
“And then at 22 overall... with the chargers at 22, I look at four players in particular. One of them is Vega Ohanae.”
Went undraftedmocked at 220Missmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Leka Uhatafe
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with JAX
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“has Fernando Mendoza one, Arvell Reese two... Why do you think the Jets choose Arvel Rees over everybody else not named Fernando Mendoza?”
Went 5mocked at 287.81Hitmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20
“But Avion Terrell, he's too good of a football player... I'd consider them at number 20”
Went 48mocked at 2029.73Missmock order 83.33 − 50 for a shuffle = 33.33 × 1 difficulty = +33.33 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 33.33
- player:
- Avieon Terrell
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 29.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 29.73
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 83.33
Caleb Banks to be picked “doesn't get to pick 22”
“I think they'd take Caleb Banks if he gets to 22, but I don't think he gets to 22.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Bailey to be picked “the Dolphins' first pick of the Jeff Haffley era”
“you have the Dolphins winding up with David Bailey for for, the first pick there for the Jeff Haffley era”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Position Order Calls1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“when it comes to Carnell Tate, I still think that he would be a worthy selection as a top 10 overall pick and potentially the number one wide receiver in this class”
100Hit100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Who this take is about
Monroe Freeling, Cleveland Browns, Ty Simpson, Pittsburgh Steelers, Fernando Mendoza, Kenyon Sadiq, San Francisco 49ers, Dillon Thieneman, Dallas Cowboys, Sonny Styles, Tennessee Titans, Jeremiyah Love, New Orleans Saints, Carnell Tate, New York Giants, Leka Uhatafe, Los Angeles Chargers, Arvell Reese, New York Jets, Avieon Terrell, Caleb Banks, David Bailey, Miami Dolphins
Others on the same people
Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.
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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.