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Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 25, 2026

In the winners-only chips segment Parkins backed the Patriots over the Jaguars, the Bengals over the Steelers and the Ravens over the Cowboys in Brazil. They also said New England has a real shot at a top-10 defense and that Kayshon/Romeo Dobbs will be the Patriots' number one target.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 3calls landed1 hit · 2 misses · 2 waiting
33.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
66.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#75Danny Parkins’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Danny Parkins said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think the Patriots have a real shot at a top 10 defense this year.
Danny Parkins, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
First Things First (podcast)
The episode
Falcons beat Packers, Chiefs ‘will blowout’ Dolphins, BUD List, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidSep 25
  2. PlayedSep 27
  3. GradedSep 28
  1. 1New England Patriots to beat Jaguars“so I'll take the Patriots over the Jaguars, but not for a ton of confidence”
  2. 2Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers“I'm going eight chips. Eight. Big bet on the Cincinnati Bengals... So I expect this to be a the first statement game of the year for the Bengals.”
  3. 3Baltimore Ravens to beat cowboys“I will take Baltimore over the cowboys.”
  4. 4New England Patriots defense to be top 10 in the league“I think the Patriots have a real shot at a top 10 defense this year.”
  5. 5Romeo Doubs to be 1st on the depth chart“Romeo Dobbs had a disaster of a first game, actually got going in the second game. He's going to be the number one.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
New England Patriots to beat Jaguars1Game Outcome PicksJaguars 35–60100−189
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers2Game Outcome PicksSteelers 30–270100−189
Baltimore Ravens to beat cowboys3Game Outcome PicksRavens 34–311000+189
New England Patriots defense to be top 10 in the league4Position Group Finish————
Romeo Doubs to be 1st on the depth chart5Depth Chart Calls————
5 calls · 1 hit · 2 misses · 2 waiting33.366.7

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 depth chart call and 1 position group finish — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 33.3 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Romeo Doubs · 2026 season

11 calls from 9 pundits between 1 and 3. Danny Parkins said 1. the room's median is 2. not settled yet

Danny Parkins — 1the room — 11 calls from 9 punditsmedian 2

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots to beat Jaguars

    What happenedJaguars 35–6Patriots at Jaguars
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3 · underdog pick, Patriots 41%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    6-35
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals

    Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers

    What happenedSteelers 30–27Bengals at Steelers
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.89difficulty−189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    27-30
    skill:
    −189
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PIT
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat cowboys

    What happenedRavens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.89difficulty+189skill

    Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3 · favorite pick, Ravens 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Position Group FinishNew England Patriots

    New England Patriots defense to be top 10 in the league

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Depth Chart CallsRomeo DoubsNew England Patriots

    Romeo Doubs to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    33.3naive 66.7

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

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