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Colton PouncyMar 20, 2026

Pouncey's mock draft sends Utah offensive tackle Caleb Lomu to the Lions with the 17th pick.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Lions (podcast)Hear the original

62Close · out of 100
Went 28What happenedmocked at 17
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
62.09This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Colton Pouncy said

Colton Pouncey, mocked, Caleb Lomu from Utah to the Detroit Lions
Our reading: Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17
Where it was said
Locked On Lions (podcast)
The episode
LIONS SQUAD SHOW: Detroit Lions Latest Mock Draft + What Free Agents Still Make Sense For Detroit
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 20
  2. GradedOct 1

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 62.1 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
17They said
28What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksCaleb LomuDetroit Lions

    Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 17

    What happenedWent 28mocked at 17
    62.09Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

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