Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 22, 2026
Dubin expects a high-scoring Thursday night game and picks the Bears to beat the Patriots 31-27, citing New England's offensive line injuries limiting the run game.
Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original
What Jared Dubin said
Prediction: Bears 31, Patriots 27
- Where it was published
- CBS Sports
- The piece
- Bears vs. Patriots prediction: Chicago aims to stop Drake Maye's hot streak on 'TNF'
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 22
- PlayedOct 22
- GradedOct 23
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 95.2 out of 100, against 86.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsChicago Bears
Chicago Bears 31 — Patriots 27
What happenedBears 30–24called Bears by 4 · won by 695.24Hit · naive 86.3795.24this call−86.37a naive guess=8.87better than naive×1.67difficulty=+14.8skillClosing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3, total 50.5 · this 31–27 calls a bigger Bears win (by 4) and more points (58).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 24-30
- skill:
- 14.8
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 86.37
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- 0.28
- predicted margin:
- 4
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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