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Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 26, 2025

Schrager revealed the top five of their top-10 prospects entering the NFL Scouting Combine, with Travis Hunter first, and attached draft-range calls to several of them: Mason Graham as a top-five pick, Tyler Warren no later than the top ten, and Ashton Jeanty as a first-rounder.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 3calls landed3 hits · 1 waiting
94.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 4Settled1 still waiting
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I've got Travis Hunter as my number one prospect out of Colorado.
Peter Schrager, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Wednesday Hour 2: Travis Hunter NFL Future, Peter's Prospects, and DeMeco Ryans at Combine
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 26, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Tyler Warren to be picked “He will not escape the top ten” (picks 1–10)“I think he might go as high as top five. He will not escape the top ten.”
  2. 2Ashton Jeanty to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)“Ashton gent is one of the top running backs in this draft and will obviously be a first round. Pick”
  3. 3Mason Graham to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)“He is a top five pick and I wouldn't be shocked if he goes even higher than that.”
  4. 4Top Player Lists“i've Got Travis hunter at, One Abdul carter, Two Tyler warren, Three Ashton genty at, Four Mason graham at. Five then you saw six through ten Yesterday”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tyler Warren to be picked “He will not escape the top ten” (picks 1–10)1Mock Draft PicksWent 1484.0950—
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)2Mock Draft PicksWent 610050—
Mason Graham to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)3Mock Draft PicksWent 510050—
“i've Got Travis hunter at, One Abdul carter, Two Tyler warren,…”4Top Player Lists————
4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting94.750

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 94.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
He will not escape the top ten (picks 1–10)They said
14What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksTyler Warren

    Tyler Warren to be picked “He will not escape the top ten” (picks 1–10)

    What happenedWent 14
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    He will not escape the top ten (picks 1–10)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksAshton Jeanty

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 6
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksMason Graham

    Mason Graham to be picked “a top five pick” (picks 1–5)

    What happenedWent 5
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Mason Graham
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    a top five pick (picks 1–5)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Top Player Lists

    “i've Got Travis hunter at, One Abdul carter, Two Tyler warren, Three Ashton genty at, Four Mason graham at. Five then you saw six through ten Yesterday”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    94.7naive 50

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.