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Justin PughApr 12, 2025

In the mock draft they took Travis Hunter third to the Giants, Ashton Jeanty sixth to the Raiders, Kelvin Banks 11th to the 49ers and Colston Loveland 14th to the Colts; they also called the Cardinals a team to look out for.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

4 of 4calls landed4 hits · 1 waiting
92.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4 of 5Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Justin Pugh said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
You draft Travis Hunter. You draft the best player available.
Justin Pugh, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Saturday Special: Justin Reid, GMFB Mock Draft, Bears Outlook, and Rap Draft!
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidApr 12, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026
  1. 1Colston Loveland to be picked at number 14“I'm looking at tight end. Michigan Colston go On won a national championship... The Colts add that piece”
  2. 2Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6“Ashton Gense, your Heisman runner up, sets the foundation, sets the toughness number six Las Vegas gent to the Raiders.”
  3. 3Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3“You draft Travis Hunter. You draft the best player available... Travis Hunter is going to Jersey”
  4. 4Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11“You were on the clock with the Niners... I'm going Texas. I'm going Kelvin Banks.”
  5. 5Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations“It just signed Trade McBride and the Cardinals are a team to look out for.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Colston Loveland to be picked at number 141Mock Draft PicksWent 1084.0950+50
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 62Mock Draft PicksWent 610050+50
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 33Mock Draft PicksWent 295.7650+50
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 114Mock Draft PicksWent 991.750+50
Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations5Surprise Team Calls————
5 calls · 4 hits · 1 waiting92.950

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 92.9 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
14They said
10What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksColston LovelandIndianapolis Colts

    Colston Loveland to be picked at number 14

    What happenedWent 10mocked at 14
    84.09Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6

    What happenedWent 6mocked at 6
    100Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterNew York Giants

    Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3

    What happenedWent 2mocked at 3
    95.76Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksKelvin Banks Jr.San Francisco 49ers

    Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11

    What happenedWent 9mocked at 11
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    100this mock’s order50a shuffled mock50better than naive1difficulty+50skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Kelvin Banks Jr.
    season:
    2025
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Surprise Team CallsArizona Cardinals

    Arizona Cardinals to beat expectations

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    92.9naive 50

Who this take is about

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