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Ralph VacchianoSep 9, 2026

Vacchiano picks the Broncos to beat the Bears 31-24 in Super Bowl LXI, with Denver dominating the AFC under Sean Payton and Chicago emerging in Year 2 under Ben Johnson.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 4Settled4 still waiting
4Waitingnot graded yet

What Ralph Vacchiano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If he can just have a little better luck and health, no one in the AFC will beat them.
Ralph Vacchiano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
2026 Super Bowl Predictions: Battle Of L.A.? Cowboys Win It All? Our Super Bowl LXI Picks
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl“Ralph Vacchiano: Broncos Defeat Bears”
  2. 2Denver Broncos 31 — Bears 24“Score prediction: Broncos 31, Bears 24”
  3. 3Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl“Ralph Vacchiano: Broncos Defeat Bears”
  4. 4Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl“Ralph Vacchiano: Broncos Defeat Bears”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl1Conference Champions————
Denver Broncos 31 — Bears 242Score Predictions————
Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl3Conference Champions————
Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl4Super Bowl Picks————
4 calls · 4 waiting——

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against the record

Reaches the Super BowlThey said
Did not reach it2025

Their call against what actually happened last time. Not yet settled.

  1. 1Conference ChampionsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Score PredictionsDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos 31 — Bears 24

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Conference ChampionsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears to reach the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Super Bowl PicksDenver Broncos

    Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.