Skip to main content

Drew RosenhausFeb 28, 2025

Quoted by Rosenthal, agent Drew Rosenhaus said they are confident their client Abdul Carter will be the No. 1 overall pick.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

92Hit · out of 100
Went 3What happenedmocked at 1
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
91.7This callout of 100
—Skillafter difficulty

What Drew Rosenhaus said

Rosenhouse even said I'm confident he's going to go number one.
Our reading: Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Day 1 Combine Standouts and Players to Watch with Nate Tice and Nick Shook
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidFeb 28, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
1They said
3What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Mock Draft PicksAbdul Carter

    Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1

    What happenedWent 3mocked at 1
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2024
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.