Clay Travis#15 of 21 election pundits · Nov 3, 2022
After interviewing them, Travis predicted Hung Cao would win the House race in Virginia's 10th district.
Said on air or in an interview · The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton ShowHear the original
0Miss · out of 100
Jennifer T. Wexton wonWhat happenedcalled Hung Cao
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
What Clay Travis said
he's gonna win. I think he's gonna win. Buck Virginia ten.
- Where it was said
- The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton Show
- The episode
- Daily Review with Clay and Buck - Nov 3 2022
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 3, 2022
- Election DayNov 8, 2022
- GradedOct 9, 2026
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Hung Cao to win the 2022 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 10
What happenedJennifer T. Wexton woncalled Hung Cao0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.01difficulty=−101skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- right:
- no
- race:
- 2022-house-va-10
- election year:
- 2022
- skill:
- −101
- topic:
- elections
- held going in by:
- Democratic
- result from:
- fec-2022
- who won:
- Jennifer T. Wexton
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- race name:
- 2022 U.S. House election in Virginia's district 10
- decided in the:
- general
- they said:
- Hung Cao
- days before the vote when called:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1.01
- the winner's party:
- Democratic
- the naive guess:
- the party holding the seat keeps it
- Election Day:
- 2022-11-08
- the result is:
- certified
- the party they named:
- Republican
The race in this take
every call on eachMore race winners
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.